The French Open is officially underway with one day in the books. As the stakes have been raised so has the level of play, as there were not too many upsets, especially up top. With the magnitude of this event both DraftKings and FanDuel have given us very good size slates with tons of tennis DFS options. All of the GPP’s and cash games are as good as they’ll get all year so let’s make some picks for our fantasy tennis lineups and win some of that Grand Slam money.
Free Expert Tennis ProjectionsWith one of tennis' grand slam events ongoing, we've made Awesemo's expert Tennis DFS projections FREE for the entirety of the French Open. These Tennis DFS Projections are generated from 1,000 simulations and data points, using surface-based statistics for each player. Our projections will not only give you expected points for DraftKings, but a statistical projection breakdown that includes sets won, games won, aces and clean sets.
Often slates in tennis DFS are half this size, so game theory often comes into play as value plays are normally very high owned. That will be of no concern this week for us until probably Thursday with so many matches going down. That is where the two sites do carry some slight differences in relation to overall scoring. DraftKings puts a premium on servers with their ace and double fault “bonuses” while FanDuel does not carry any bonuses and punishes those who double fault with no ability to redeem. And to add a last wrinkle to all of this is the fact we’re playing on clay which neutralizes the service game far more than any other surface.
DraftKings and FanDuel Tennis DFS Picks | May 31
Top Tier: Iga Swiatek ($11,000/$24)
Opponent: Kaja Juvan
It’s not exactly exciting to start off with the most expensive player on both sites but on FanDuel where there are multiple players at $24 the value is there for Iga Swiatek. Last year’s French Open champ has come back to her dominant form after a slight lull with eight wins in nine matches on clay including a title in Rome two weeks ago. Her ability to defend and keep rallies going makes her an absolute monster on clay as her 92% probability to win suggests per the Elo Ratings.
Another factor to consider is the sweep upside the women’s side carries versus the men’s with fewer sets needed to win. Swiatek is a near lock to sweep against the 19-year-old Kaja Juvan who has gone winless in three clay matches so far.
Top Tier: Jannik Sinner ($21)
Opponent: Pierre Hugues-Herbert
This quarter of the tournament sets up pretty well for Jannik Sinner to go deep and it starts with Pierre Hugues-Hebert. Sinner has shown a calm, and ability, unlike many 19-year-olds in any profession. Reaching the quarterfinals at Roland Garros last year is just a sample of what he’s going to be capable of as his career continues its upward climb. His advantage is across the board in all metrics and Elo Ratings (78.4%) as well.
The discount is likely due to the face he’s went just 3-3 in his last six matches on clay but two of the three were against players in the world. His age and ATP rank are amazingly the exact same number, and he should cruise here.
Others: Casper Ruud (DraftKings), Jaume Munar (FanDuel), Yoshihito Nishioka (Both)
Mid-Tier: Cameron Norrie ($9800/$19)
Opponent: Bjorn Fratangelo
It’s pretty rare to see a player figure out a surface this late in his career but Cameron Norrie has apparently done so. Norrie has more wins this season (14) on Clay than he had over the last three seasons combined. His history at Roland Garros is not exactly inspiring but having reached two Finals on clay this year and winning 77% of those matches rather is.
This could end up being a tight match as Fratangelo is in some form and has all of his career Clay wins in ATP events here at Roland Garros. Regardless, Norrie has looked great on clay using his mobility and spin to sink opponents. I’ll take the discount and hope the Brit can pay it off in tennis DFS gold.
Others: Dominik Koepfer (Both), Reilly Opelka (DraftKings), John Isner (FanDuel)
Pick ’em Tier: Nadia Podoroska ($7700/$16)
Opponent: Belinda Bencic
Nadia Podoroska is another clay beast to come out of Argentina facing the far less fleet of foot Belinda Bencic. Podoroska surprised many of us as she reached the semi-finals here last fall but that was no fluke, as she won 22 of her 26 matches on the red dirt including a lower-level title. Bencic will struggle to do anything if Podoroska can make her work and force her to rally. The form is also there for her with both losses this year coming against quality opponents on clay.
The seedings versus the odds says everything about this matchup. Podoroska will run circles around Bencic here and be given tons of opportunities to break with Bencic’s propensity to double fault.
Others: Lorenzo Musetti (Both), Anna Blinkova (DraftKings)
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