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DraftKings

Serve & Volley: DraftKings Tennis DFS Picks for Mercedes Cup & Nottingham Open | Thursday, 6/10

Josh Anderson

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DraftKings Tennis DFS picks for Mercedes Cup & Nottingham on Thursday June 10 2021 daily fantasy expert projections ownership rankings odds predictions best bets

Monday’s slate didn’t quite finish, as weather in Nottingham did weather-in-Nottingham things, but we move on with another 13-match tennis DFS slate on DraftKings for the Nottingham Open and Mercedes Cup. As we saw, there is a lot of uncertainty with players’ form on the grass surface, including five upsets. Finding relevant data is going to be a task, but I’ll use a combination of recent form, matchup data, odds, and Awesemo’s projections to help me make my tennis DFS picks for our fantasy lineups. Let’s serve it up for Thursday, June 10th.


Free Expert Tennis Projections

With one of tennis' grand slam events ongoing, we've made Awesemo's expert Tennis DFS projections FREE for the entirety of the French Open. These Tennis DFS Projections are generated from 1,000 simulations and data points, using surface-based statistics for each player. Our projections will not only give you expected points for DraftKings, but a statistical projection breakdown that includes sets won, games won, aces and clean sets.

DraftKings Tennis DFS Picks for 2021 Mercedes Cup & Nottingham Open | June 10

Tereza Martincova ($8,800)

Opponent: Georgina Garcia Perez

Odds: -192

Prior to a five-match losing streak (all on clay), Tereza Martincova was enjoying 2021 with 16 wins in 24 matches prior. Her form is still the best it has seen as a pro, with a domination rating of .99. In comparison to previous years, she’s seemingly put a focus on her return-game, as she’s increased her return-points-won by nearly 4%, while dropping a similar amount in her 1st serves. Her strength is her mobility, and she has recognized such, judging by the improvement in points when the ball is in play most often.

Her struggles on grass as a pro don’t give me much concern against Georgina Garcia Perez, who shares no more success on the surface. In comparing her price to the odds and Elo of 70.7%, it doesn’t quite add up to the savings of $8,800, but I’ll gladly take it.

Get a $2,021 Risk Free Bet!

Heather Watson ($6,900)

Opponent: Katie Boulter

Odds: +126

There was discussion in our premium Slack about Heather Watson‘s viability, considering her often inconsistent game and high price tag. Today should be a complete opposite discussion, as Watson is just $6,900, while going up against a player with an equally inconsistent game in Katie Boulter. The inconsistencies in each player’s game is not measured in the same unit of measure, though. Boulter often struggles with double faults (6.8%) and shot-making, while Watson has been known to disappear from matches or show little motivation. In this “battle of the Brits,” that should not be an issue, especially with country pride on the line and a spot in the quarterfinals.

Watson has enjoyed a good bit more success on grass than Boulter, with a higher success rate on grass and a win in their only head-to-head. At this price, she has plenty of value and upside in terms of tennis DFS. With so many question marks and highly priced favorites with little form to rely on, Watson might be my favorite play on the slate.

Other favorites:

Johanna Konta, Alex De Minaur, Marin Cilic, Kristina Mladenovic

Upset Pool:

Alison Van Uytvanck, Yannick Hanfmann, Nina Stojanovic, Shuai Zhang

Looking for more Tennis DFS picks content? We have loads of articles, data and more on the Awesemo Tennis DFS home page.

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"gottagetthiswiiin" - Born and raised in Wisconsin with a degree in Marketing. DFS has been a big part of my life since 2016 and has changed my career path and quality of life so much I can't not love it. I enjoy all sports and I'm definitely not a diehard Packers fan, or any team for that matter besides maybe the Wild. Love to travel with the wife and kid - Germany if I'm picking a favorite place. Hope to help people make more thoughtful, and informed, DFS decisions.