Monday’s slate didn’t quite finish, as weather in Nottingham did weather-in-Nottingham things, but we move on with another 13-match tennis DFS slate on DraftKings for the Nottingham Open and Mercedes Cup. As we saw, there is a lot of uncertainty with players’ form on the grass surface, including five upsets. Finding relevant data is going to be a task, but I’ll use a combination of recent form, matchup data, odds, and Awesemo’s projections to help me make my tennis DFS picks for our fantasy lineups. Let’s serve it up for Thursday, June 10th.
Free Expert Tennis ProjectionsWith one of tennis' grand slam events ongoing, we've made Awesemo's expert Tennis DFS projections FREE for the entirety of the French Open. These Tennis DFS Projections are generated from 1,000 simulations and data points, using surface-based statistics for each player. Our projections will not only give you expected points for DraftKings, but a statistical projection breakdown that includes sets won, games won, aces and clean sets.
DraftKings Tennis DFS Picks for 2021 Mercedes Cup & Nottingham Open | June 10
Tereza Martincova ($8,800)
Opponent: Georgina Garcia Perez
Prior to a five-match losing streak (all on clay), Tereza Martincova was enjoying 2021 with 16 wins in 24 matches prior. Her form is still the best it has seen as a pro, with a domination rating of .99. In comparison to previous years, she’s seemingly put a focus on her return-game, as she’s increased her return-points-won by nearly 4%, while dropping a similar amount in her 1st serves. Her strength is her mobility, and she has recognized such, judging by the improvement in points when the ball is in play most often.
Her struggles on grass as a pro don’t give me much concern against Georgina Garcia Perez, who shares no more success on the surface. In comparing her price to the odds and Elo of 70.7%, it doesn’t quite add up to the savings of $8,800, but I’ll gladly take it.
Heather Watson ($6,900)
Opponent: Katie Boulter
There was discussion in our premium Slack about Heather Watson‘s viability, considering her often inconsistent game and high price tag. Today should be a complete opposite discussion, as Watson is just $6,900, while going up against a player with an equally inconsistent game in Katie Boulter. The inconsistencies in each player’s game is not measured in the same unit of measure, though. Boulter often struggles with double faults (6.8%) and shot-making, while Watson has been known to disappear from matches or show little motivation. In this “battle of the Brits,” that should not be an issue, especially with country pride on the line and a spot in the quarterfinals.
Watson has enjoyed a good bit more success on grass than Boulter, with a higher success rate on grass and a win in their only head-to-head. At this price, she has plenty of value and upside in terms of tennis DFS. With so many question marks and highly priced favorites with little form to rely on, Watson might be my favorite play on the slate.
Johanna Konta, Alex De Minaur, Marin Cilic, Kristina Mladenovic
Alison Van Uytvanck, Yannick Hanfmann, Nina Stojanovic, Shuai ZhangLooking for more Tennis DFS picks content? We have loads of articles, data and more on the Awesemo Tennis DFS home page.
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!