Awesemo Daily Fantasy Sports
Awesemo Fantasy Football
Odds Shopper by Awesemo
Connect with us

Tennis

Australian Open Betting and Tennis DFS Preview: Rafael Nadal Bracket

Avatar

Published

on

The first major of the year has arrived! Players have been in action over the last few weeks to prepare for this tournament and we’ll get to see a glimpse of everyone at their best. We’re going to break down each first round match of the Rafael Nadal quarter of the bracket, for your best bets and Tennis DFS lineups. Will anyone be able to take him down?

Get a risk free bet + 2 months FREE of Awesemo+ platinum all-access!

In New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Indiana or West Virginia, bet tennis NOW at FANDUEL.

Be sure to follow us on Twitter @AwesemoTennis and @Awesemo_Com. Want more tennis DFS and premium content? Sign up for Awesemo+ HERE.

The Nadal Bracket Tennis DFS and Betting Preview for the 2020 Australian Open

Rafael Nadal (No. 1) vs. Hugo Dellien

This match is going to be an absolute blowout. Rafael Nadal was 31-3 on the hard courts in 2019, while capturing titles in Canada and at the U.S. Open. The ATP No. 1 is bound to make a deep run and I don’t see anyone being able to stop him from reaching the finals. Hugo Dellien, on the other hand, is a clay court player who was just 3-3 on the hard courts last year. Only one of his wins was against a top-100 player, which shows that he does not have the experience to keep up in a match like this. I’m rolling with the Spaniard to win this match, but covering a -11.5 spread is a tall task.

Winner: Nadal

Federico Delbonis vs. João Sousa

This matchup is the closest one on the board odds-wise, but it’s one that I’m not really looking forward to. Federico Delbonis did not have a great hard court season in 2019 with a 2-6 record on the surface. Delbonis leans on his serve to take down top players, but it has not been firing as of late. He won 69% of first serve points on hard courts last season while holding serve on 72% of the time. On the other side of the court, Joao Sousa is having his own problems fnding his form. He’s lost four straight matches without winning a single set. His serve has been terrible, facing 36 break points while winning just 59% of first serve points. I expect this to be a five-set battle, and I’ll give the slight edge to Delbonis due to the bigger serve.

Winner: Delbonis

Christopher Eubanks vs. Peter Gojowczyk 

Christopher Eubanks fell down the rankings in 2019 due to his 21-23 record on hard courts. The majority of his games were on the Challenger Tour, but in his ATP matches, he was just 1-5. Eubanks has a big serve that gets him through matches, firing down aces at a 15% rate in 2019 while winning 75% of first serve points. That said, Peter Gojowczyk was below average as well in 2019. He had an outstanding run in Washington where he took out Andrey Rublev, Alex de Minaur, Milos Raonic and Kyle Edmund, but that was an anomaly. Gojowczyk lost just one set in the qualifying rounds, and I’ll have to give him the edge here due to experience.

Tail Awesemo's Sports Betting Picks Today!

Winner: Gojowczyk

Jozef Kovalik vs. Pablo Carreño Busta (No. 27)

This looks to be like another match that will be lopsided, as Pablo Carreño Busta should get the job done in straight sets. The Spaniard is 29-11 in his last 40 hard court matches, including a title win in Chengdu. Jozef Kovalik has not played a lot of hard court tennis as of late with a 3-8 record since January of 2019. He lost in the qualifiers and is coming in as a lucky loser, but I don’t think he’ll make much noise. Kovalik faced a total 36 break points in his three qualifying matches, and Carreño Busta is bound to take advantage of that. I’m rolling with him to win with ease.

Winner: Carreño Busta

Nick Kyrgios (No. 23) vs. Lorenzo Sonego 

Every time Nick Kyrgios is in action, it becomes a must-watch match. The Australian is arguably the most talented player on the ATP tour, but he hasn’t put it together mentally. I’m sure the last thing that’s on his mind is to win a major, but I’m hoping we see him actually try his hardest to make it to that level. He fired down aces at a 22% rate in 2019, and he raised the bar even higher at the ATP Cup. Lorenzo Sonego, on the other hand, has not been great. Sonego has lost eight straight hard court matches, and I don’t see that streak ending today. Kyrgios took down Sonego in August in straight sets, and I expect the same result on Monday.

Winner: Kyrgios

Pablo Cuevas vs. Gilles Simon

Pablo Cuevas is one of the best clay court players on the ATP tour, but his style of play does not fit well on the hard surfaces. Cuevas is 3-12 in his last 15 hard court matches, with nine of those losses coming in straight sets. He’s getting towards the end of his long career, and I don’t see him pushing to go far in this tournament. On the other side of the court, Gilles Simon hasn’t been great himself. He was 15-18 on hard courts in 2019 while holding serve just 75% of the time. He had an impressive win at the ATP Cup against Lloyd Harris, and I think his game has just enough to get him over the line in this match.

Check out today's FREE DFS tool of the day

Winner: Simon

Yasutaka Uchiyama vs. Mikael Ymer

Yasutaka Uchiyama had an outstanding 2019 season with a 40-22 record on the hard courts. While the majority of those matches were on the Challenger level, he showed he can compete on the ATP tour as well. He went 4-3 while taking out Kyle Edmund, Benoit Paire, Radu Albot and Ugo Humbert. Mikael Ymer, on the other hand, had a breakout season in 2019, as he went 50-19 on the year. Ymer is 5-2 so far in 2020, while losing just four service games in his Auckland run this past week. This is their first head to head meeting, but given Ymer’s recent success over top players on the tour, I’m giving him the edge here.

Winner: Ymer

Mario Vilella Martínez vs. Karen Khachanov (No. 16)

This match has blowout written all over it. Mario Vilella Martínez is 7-8 in his last 15 hard court matches, but he is yet to face someone ranked inside the top 125. This will be the first ATP tour level hard court match for him, and it won’t be a fun one. Karen Khachanov didn’t have his best season in 2019 with a 19-20 record on the hard courts. However, he beat top-20 players on a consistent basis and he has the game to compete against anyone. He went 4-1 at the ATP Cup last week while winning 82% of first serve points. I expect a straight-set beatdown from Khachanov.

Winner: Khachanov

In New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Indiana or West Virginia, bet tennis NOW at FANDUEL 

Gael Monfils (No. 10) vs. Yen-Hsun Lu

Similar to the Martínez-Khachanov match, this one might be over in under an hour. Gael Monfils is coming off of an exceptional 2019 season with a 30-12 record on the hard courts. He reached nine quarterfinals on the year while taking down the title in Rotterdam. He started this season off going 1-1 at the ATP Cup with the lone loss coming against Novak Djokovic. Yen-Hsun Lu, the former ATP. No 33, hasn’t played a single match since May 2018. It’s hard to know what we can expect from him, but competing with Monfils in his first match back is not going to go well. Monfils should end this match quickly while being a top play for tennis DFS.

Join AWESEMO+ today!
Use accurate data and advanced tools crafted by the #1 DFS player.

Winner: Monfils

Ivo Karlovic vs. Vasek Pospisil

This match is bound to have a few tiebreakers, as two big servers are facing off against each other. Ivo Karlovic is arguably the best server in the game outside of John Isner, but other than that, his game is not spectacular. He went just 4-9 in 2019 ATP level hard court matches with his double fault rate creeping up to an almost 6%. Vasek Pospisil was 7-6 in ATP tour level hard court matches over the last year, while firing down aces at a 15% rate. Pospisil is 3-0 against Karlovic in his career, and with their current forms, I expect Pospisil to get the job done again.

Winner: Pospisil

James Duckworth vs. Aljaz Bedene

James Duckworth was taking down Challenger level titles left and right in 2019. He failed to take down a player ranked inside of the top 80, but he got one to start the 2020 season. He is 1-1 this year with the only loss coming against Felix Auger-Aliassime, who he pushed to the very end. He’s firing down aces at a 10% rate while winning just 70% of first serve points. Aljaz Bedene, on the other hand, has been solid on the ATP tour with a 10-7 record on the hard courts. He’s taken down six top-50 players in the last year and I think he will have the upper hand in this match. Bedene is a much stronger server and player in general than Duckworth, and he can take this match down in four sets.

Winner: Bedene

Ernests Gulbis vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime (No. 20)

Ernests Gulbis, the former ATP No. 10, has not had much success as of late. He was just 7-17 on the ATP tour in hard court matches, while failing to get past the round of 32. However, he has turned on the jets in 2020 with a 5-1 record while firing down aces at a 13% rate. He is yet to play someone ranked inside the top 100, so this will be a tough task. Felix Auger-Aliassime played some lights-out tennis this week in Adelaide, as he fired down 52 aces in three matches. He was just a few points away from taking down Andrey Rublev in a three-hour classic, and I hope the momentum carries over into this tournament. Auger-Aliassime should have no issue winning this match in three or four sets.

Winner: Auger-Aliassime

Taylor Fritz (No. 29) vs. Tallon Griekspoor

Taylor Fritz had a rather inconsistent 2019 season with a 15-18 record on the hard courts. He showed signs of brilliance at times and signs of poor play more often than not. He is just 5-15 in his last 20 hard court matches, and I hope we get to see a big upset here in the first round. Tallon Griekspoor didn’t have a great 2019 hard court year with a 8-12 record on the surface. However, he showed that he has the talent to compete as he took down both Steve Johnson and Karen Khachanov. He pushed Andy Murray to three sets back on November as well, and he’s yet to lose a set this week. It might be a tall order to take down Taylor Fritz, but I’m all for an upset.

Winner: Griekspoor

Ilya Ivashka vs. Kevin Anderson

I am beyond excited to see Kevin Anderson back on the main stage. Anderson is one of the more underrated players on the ATP tour, but he has reached two major finals as well as quite a few top-five wins. The former ATP No. 5 showed he is back and fully healthy once again at the ATP Cup, as he took down Benoit Paire and pushed Novak Djokovic to the very last point. Anderson has a massive serve, and I think that’ll propel him through this tournament. On the other side of the net, Ilya Ivashka was just 6-11 in ATP tour level matches last year. He faced an average of nine break points a match and Anderson will take full advantage.

Winner: Anderson

Want more tennis DFS and premium content? Sign up for Awesemo+ HERE.

Alex Bolt vs. Albert Ramos Viñolas

This is a tough match to read as both players have similar styles and are in similar forms. Alex Bolt was just 3-3 on the ATP tour in 2019, but he’s already off to a hot start this year. He dismantled Jan Lennard Struff last week 6-3, 6-4 while facing zero break points. Whether the German was 100% in that match is unclear, but either way it is a confidence boost. Albert Ramos Viñolas is 10-10 in his last 20 hard court matches, but that includes four wins against top-25 players. He is a fighter and while he only wins 79% of service games, he can make it up on the return end. I have to go with the player that has been here many times before, and I think Ramos Viñolas wins this match in five sets.

Winner: Ramos Viñolas

Adrian Mannarino vs. Dominic Thiem (No. 5)

Dominic Thiem has been playing the best tennis of his life on the hard courts, and this is his time to prove that he belongs near the top. The ATP. No 5 captured three hard court titles in 2019 while posting a 25-10 record. He took down seven top-10 players, including Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic. The Austrian is playing out of his mind, and I expect that to continue this week. Adrian Mannarino, on the other hand, had his fair share of ups and downs in 2019. He was 19-21 on the hard courts while reaching two finals at the end of the season. Thiem is 7-0 against Mannarino, and I don’t expect that run to end on Monday.

Winner: Thiem

Projected fourth round matchups

Rafael Nadal vs Nick Kyrgios

Gael Monfils vs Dominic Thiem

Projected quarterfinals matchup

Nick Kyrgios vs Dominic Thiem

Group Winner and Australian Open Semi-Finalist

Dominic Thiem

Caleb contributes to the tennis coverage at Awesemo.com, providing analysis and picks for some of the top tennis tournaments. Though he specializes in DraftKings' tennis offerings, Caleb's analysis extends to everywhere wise enough to offer tennis daily fantasy sports to the masses. You can contact Caleb by emailing [email protected].

Sign up to Receive Expert DFS Advice & Exclusive Offers From Awesemo

Subscriber Counter

We respect your email privacy