There were tons of upsets in the previous slate as well as several big names posting low tennis DFS scores mainly because of long layoffs. Today, we have a nice upset pool as well as some potential big scorers. We will use stats compiled so far from recent tournaments. Let’s get right to the tennis DFS picks for Nov. 4.
DraftKings Tennis DFS Picks | 11/04
Tennis DFS Pick: Kevin Anderson ($6,100)
Opponent: Daniil Medvedev
Opened at +230
Kevin Anderson is fresh off a win where his opponent retired before the first set ended. This extra rest is very important, especially going into his next match with Daniil Medvedev, who he had beaten earlier last month in straight sets. Anderson at his best has beaten the likes of Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal in straight sets. Looking at the two most recent matches played, Anderson is winning 87% of his first serve points and 68% of his second-serve points, while Medvedev sees a 2% advantage in the return game (45.5% to 43%). Medvedev has played mistake-ridden tennis as of recent, averaging four double faults per match to Anderson’s one, and I expect the strong-serving Anderson to take advantage of it and win this matchup in three sets.
Tennis DFS Pick: Adrian Mannarino ($7,600)
Opponent: Yoshihito Nishioka
Odds to win: -130
Adrian Mannarino is on a hot streak at the moment, winning four of his last five matches, with all his wins coming in straight sets. Yoshihito Nishioka went thrre sets in his last match with a player who is 1-6 since 2019 and 13-33 career wise on the I-hard surface. This performance from Nishioka doesn’t bode well for him, especially against an in-form Mannarino who in his last match won 85% of his first- and second-serve points along with zero double faults. I expect Mannarino to win this matchup in straight sets.
Tennis DFS Pick: Lorenzo Sonego ($7,000)
Opponent: Alex De Minaur
Odds to win: +198
Lorenzo Sonego is suddenly playing on an elite level, winning five recent matches in straight sets, and that includes a win over Novak Djokovic. Sonego seems to have found his rhythm and has improved his return game quite a bit since the return from the COVID break. Looking at Sonego’s last three wins, he’s winning 79% of his first-serve points, 62% of his second-serve points and 48% of his return points to go along with just one double fault per match. Alex De Minaur has been playing fine as well, even making it to the finals where he lost to Ugo Humbert in straight sets. De Minaur in his last three wins has a first-serve-won percentage of 78.3%, second-serve-won percentage of 56.3% and return points won of 43.6%. I’ll side with the hot hand here in Sonego, who has looked more dominant as of late.
Tennis DFS Pick: Alexander Zverev ($9,100)
Opponent: Miomir Kecmanovic
Opened at -340
Alexander Zverev has won every single I-hard tournament he’s entered since the COVID break. Zverev’s wins over Diego Schwartzman and Jannik Sinner in straight sets were no easy tasks and reinforce the level he’s currently playing at. Miomir Kecmanovic is fresh off a win over John Millman, who had just one day’s rest before the Paris Open, but unfortunately for Kecmanovic, Zverev has had at least a week of rest since his last win. Zverev should dominate this match up and win in straight sets.
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Tennis DFS Pick: Borna Coric ($9,900)
Opponent: Jordan Thompson
Opened at -1100
Borna Coric has some head-to-head history with Thompson, winning both matchups in straight sets. Coric has been the better player on the I-hard surface this year, winning six of his last eight, compared to Thompson’ 2-of-5. With wins over Milos Raonic and Taylor Fritz, I expect Coric to have no problem beating the out-of-form Thompson in straight sets.
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