We get a quick turnaround from Monday night’s late tennis DFS slate into today’s early morning slate on DraftKings. So far most slates have only had eight matches, but we get a few more options here with 11 ATP bouts. With the larger slate, we also are getting more to play for with the main GPP first prize at $5,000. There’s also a bit of an odd dynamic to this slate, with nine of the 11 matches being played on clay, so wins will be of the highest priority. Let’s find those winning tennis DFS picks.
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DraftKings Tennis DFS Picks | Feb. 23
Favorite GPP Play: Facundo Bagnis
Opponent: Nicolas Kicker
Sweep Odds: -139
I was initially going to make Facundo Bagnis my cash play, but with a giant misprice in comparison to odds, he looks even better for GPP’s. As the second-largest favorite on the slate, the odds of a sweep are as good as he’ll ever get, going up against Nicolas Kicker, who hasn’t played a competitive match in nearly three years because of match fixing. Along with a giant edge in recent form and overall experience (515-316 career record on the red dirt), Bagnis also carries a 3-1 head-to-head record against his fellow countryman.
I don’t think we can really know what to expect from the wild card Kicker, but Bagnis comes into this match with three wins already going through qualifying. I’ll take full advantage of the misprice by DraftKings here and run wild with it.
Favorite Cash Play: Gilles Simon
Opponent: Dennis Novak
Coming in as a good value at just $8,400, Gilles Simon is a good starting point for tennis DFS cash lineups on a slate with a lot of close matchups. Simon gets a nice home advantage here and a big surface advantage as well. With a win percentage over 63% in 330 matches played indoors, Simon should be able to use the familiarity to his advantage against Dennis Novak. In comparison to Simon, Novak has only played 85 career matches, with minimal success, going just 45-40. Along with the surface advantage, we can also look at the experience Simon has in his home country’s tournament, with multiple quarterfinals and a semifinal to his name.
These two play a similar all-around game with good mobility, which they’ll need. Simon’s strong finish on indoor courts last year (6-4), overall experience and nice odds make for a strong play in cash.
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