Welcome back tennis DFS fans! It’s Day Three of this week’s WTA and ATP tournaments, and we’re going to have to do some double dipping on certain players due to the rain delay. We are only a few weeks away from Wimbledon, and the players are trying to get a good test on grass before the next major tournament. The third slate of the week has 18 matches with both the ATP and WTA tour in action.
The players listed below can be used in any contest, whether it’s for cash or GPP. I personally like to use the same lineup in both, since the goal is to pick players who are going to win their match. If you choose to go down the route of playing the “stars and scrubs” strategy, you might be forced to choose players who are bound to get crushed. This strategy is risky as upsets happen quite often in tennis, and if one of your most expensive players gets beat you have a very low chance to cash. Let’s get into my top 3 plays for the slate!
Note: Tennis is available on DraftKings ONLY. This slate is best of three set scoring for all players.
Milos Raonic $10,200
Since this match was re-scheduled, we’re rolling with it again. Milos Raonic was forced to withdraw from his last tournament due to a back injury, but I’m sure it was just for precautionary reasons. The big serving Canadian is arguably the best grass court players on the ATP tour outside of the big three, and he is bound to make some noise over the next few weeks. Last week in Stuttgart, Raonic won 89% of all first serve points while firing down aces at a 25% rate. He got his serve broken once in his first match, but after that it was smooth sailing.
He’ll face off against Marco Cecchinato, the world number 40 from Italy. Cecchinato has a brutal clay court season for his standards to say the least, posting a 6-6 record on the surface that he thrives on. He was 2-2 last season on grass, but he didn’t play anyone quite like Raonic. Cecchinato had his serve broken 10 times in those four matches, and one break of serve against Milos will lead to a quick loss. Raonic should have no issue winning in two sets, while unloading on the ace count.
Johanna Konta $9,400
Johanna Konta has been one of the most consistent players on the WTA tour over the last few months, posting an 18-4 record since the beginning of April. She reached two finals during the clay court season, as well as making a run to the semifinals at the French Open. In 2018, Konta was 3-3 on the grass while showing major signs of struggle, but her current form cannot be ignored. She’ll face off against the most erratic player on the WTA tour, Jelena Ostapenko.
It’s almost impossible to be able to tout Ostapenko, as she does not have the will to want to him nowadays. She is 4-14 in her last 18 matches, losing in straight sets on eight occasions. Her double fault rate during this span has been brutal, serving them at an almost 11% rate. It is hit or miss with Ostapenko, and it’s been a lot of missing recently. Due to Konta’s form and Ostapenko’s ability to get blown out at any time, I’m rolling with Konta.
Juan Martin Del Potro $9,100
Juan Martin Del Potro, aka the Tower of Tandil, is looking to have another successful grass court season. The big hitting Argentinian is one of the most dangerous players on the ATP tour, and the conditions of the grass courts help his playstyle even more. He had a 4-1 record on grass last season, losing to Rafael Nadal in a five set thriller in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon. During those five matches, he fired down aces at a 21% rate and won 84% of first serve points. What stands out most is his forehand, which players do their best to avoid as it is an absolute cannon.
His first match is against Denis Shapovalov, the world number 25. Shapovalov has been wildly inconsistent over the last few months, posting a 2-8 record since late March. He hasn’t served aces at a 10% rate or better in a match since March 4th, and getting his serve broken multiple times is almost a guarantee at this point. He is 0-1 so far on grass this season, and if Del Potro plays anywhere near his best, Shapovalov won’t stand a chance. I think Del Potro will out hit him in every aspect of the game while winning in straight sets.
Possible upset/value play: Jan Lennard Struff $7,400
Jan Lennard Struff has been one of the hottest players on the ATP tour over the last two months, taking down six top-25 players on both the grass and clay courts. Struff is 4-1 this season on the grass, winning all four matches in straight sets while losing to the eventual champion in Stuttgart, Matteo Berrettini. During this matches, Struff fired down aces at a 20% rate while winning 86% of first serve points. The big hitting German relies on his serve to win him matches, and at this rate it’ll take another big server to keep up with him.
His second match is against Karen Khachanov, the world number nine from Russia. Khachanov has a big serve similar to that of Struff, but he hasn’t been able to hit his spots quite yet. He is 1-1 so far this season on the grass, serving aces at a 9% rate while winning 74% of first serve points. Khachanov dropped serve four times in those two matches, and with the way Struff is serving, that could be bad news for Karen. I think this will be a serving battle, but Struff has the hot hand and he should be able to get the job done.
Best of luck!