It’s Day Two of this week’s tournaments, and with that comes a massive Tennis DFS slate. Both the men and women will be playing this week in many different tournaments on multiple surfaces. The second slate of the week has 23 matches with ATP and WTA players in action.
The players listed below can be used in any contest, whether it’s for cash or GPP. I personally like to use the same lineup in both, since the goal is to pick players who are going to win their match. If you choose to go down the route of playing the “stars and scrubs” strategy, you might be forced to choose players who are bound to get crushed. This strategy is risky as upsets happen quite often in tennis, and if one of your most expensive players gets beat you have a very low chance to cash. Let’s get into my top plays for the slate!
Note: Tennis is now available on FanDuel.
Tennis DFS Picks for DraftKings
Filip Krajinovic (DraftKings: $10,400)
Filip Krajinovic had an exceptional clay court season to say the least, posting a 16-3 record with 10 of those wins coming in straight sets. He made a finals run in both Sophia and Budapest, and backed it up with a title at Heilbronn. He was bound to make a deep run at Roland Garros, but fell short to Stefanos Tsitsipas in four tight sets. During his clay court run, Krajinovic broke serve 32% of the time while winning 41% of all return points. On the serving end, he served aces at a 4% rate while winning 68% of first serve points, which is nothing amazing but he’s managing to get the job done.
His first match in Umag is against Taro Daniel, the ATP world number 112 from Japan. Daniel hasn’t been sharp on the clay over the last 12 months, with a 10-14 record while currently riding a four loss streak. His last match was a 6-1 6-0 loss to the 460th ranked player on the ATP tour, and the match before that he lost in three sets to a player ranked outside of the top 350. He is clearly not in good form, as he won 54% of first serve points in those matches while losing serve 10 times. Krajinovic is playing out of his mind on the clay, and I think he gets this done easily in two sets.
Steve Johnson (DraftKings: $10,000)
Steve Johnson is defending his title in Newport, and I think he’s in a good enough form to get it done. Johnson is 4-4 on the year on the grass courts, but he’s had some unlucky draws as three of his losses were against top 15 players. The ATP world number 68 relies on his service games to get him through matches, and when it’s on it’s hard to stop. On the grass courts, Johnson is serving aces at a 9% rate while holding serve 88% of the time. His 36% Return Points Won rate, is higher on grass compared to other surfaces.
Johnson’s first round game is against Christopher Eubanks, the world number 188. Eubanks has mostly been playing in Challenger tournaments over the last 12 months, posting a 27-25 record overall. His grass record is 1-1, and he’s only defeated one player ranked inside the top 100 during the last year. In his two grass court matches, Eubanks served aces at a 4% rate while losing five service games. He is yet to play anyone close to the level of Johnson, and I think his lack of playtime against top players will show in this match. Johnson should win in straight sets.
Viktor Troicki (DraftKings: $8,600)
Viktor Troicki has been flying under the radar over the last two months, posting an 11-3 record on the grass while taking down quite a few top name players. He made a finals run in Surbiton but fell short to Dan Evans in straight sets. During this run, Troicki is firing down aces at an 11% rate while winning 75% of first serve points. He has held serve at an 85% rate while breaking serve 25% of the time. He won his first two qualifying matches in Newport with ease, and I think his momentum could carry him into the later rounds.
His first match is against Jason Jung, the ATP world number 127. Jung is 1-2 on the year on grass courts, and he didn’t look all too impressive. He serves aces at a 3% rate and won 64% of first serve points, while losing eight service games. In two of the three matches, his double fault rate was higher than his ace percentage, which won’t lead to successful results on the grass courts. Jung has proven over the last few months that his game is fit for the hard courts rather than the grass, and give Troicki’s current form we’re rolling with the favorite.
Possible Upset and Value Plays
Brayden Schnur (DraftKings: $7,400)
This value play might not be the most enticing pick, but Matthew Ebden has been absolutely terrible over the last few months. He is currently riding a six loss streak, while posting a 4-21 record over his last 25 matches. Ebden played in a challenger tournament just this past week and was losing 5-0 in the first set to the ATP world number 279 Ernesto Escobedo before he withdrew, which shows just how bad of a form he is in. He served double faults at an 18% rate in that match while winning just 44% of first serve points before throwing in the towel.
He’ll have a meeting with Brayden Schnur in the first round in Newport. Schnur hasn’t been excellent on the grass, with a 3-4 record on the year, but he did have to go up against Marius Copil and Andreas Seppi who are a level above him. Schnur is serving aces at an 8% rate on the grass while winning 65% of first serve points, and while those numbers aren’t too impressive, it might be good enough against Ebden. He took down a few top 50 players earlier this year in New York, he has a solid game and given Ebden’s brutal form, he could come out of this match with a win. If you need another cheap value play, Ana Bogdan at $6,000 is interesting.
Best of luck!