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College Football Sept. 27 (FREE): Friday Betting Pick 3 and DFS

Ben Rasa

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Ben Rasa breaks down the Friday Night College Football betting slate and talks about his favorite CFB DFS Picks for DraftKings lineups.

CFB Betting: The 2019 College Football season is well underway. We have four Friday games to breakdown from both a betting and DFS perspective. This article is going to focus on the games themselves, including college football odds and a CFB DFS breakdown.

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College Football Week 5 – Friday Pick 3

Another Friday slate is upon us and we have four games to breakdown. The season is rolling along and we are in conference play across the CFB landscape. Looking at this four-game slate, we see a few ranked teams in play and only one spread that looks to have a major blowout risk.

This article is going to be a hybrid and will touch upon the games in general, the upcoming Friday night DFS slate and the betting markets for the teams in action. Each section will highlight a few names, teams or games to keep an eye on for this four-game Friday night slate in CFB.

Games on Slate

We have four games to breakdown, and as I mentioned, these games are mostly expected to stay close. We have one ACC, one Big 10, one Mountain West and one PAC-12 matchup, so we get a taste of several conferences across the country.

Duke at Virginia Tech -3, O/U 53

ACC matchup here between the 2-1 Duke Blue Devils and a 2-1 Virginia Tech team. Duke started the season getting smoked by Alabama, but has rebounded with two going away victories against lesser competition.

Virginia Tech has had a tough start to the season, losing an opening ACC game to Boston College before beating both Furman and Old Dominion in unimpressive fashion. They are home in this matchup, but will need to be sharper to avoid a 0-2 start within the conference.

Penn State -6.5 at Maryland, O/U 62

Undefeated Penn St travels to College park to take on a quality Maryland team. Last time we saw Maryland, they were taken down at Temple and their offense struggled, which wasn’t the case in their first two games.

Penn State is 3-0, but was tested in their last game against Pittsburgh. They are coming off a bye week and during that week, we saw Pittsburgh take down UCF, which may indicate that 17-10 Penn State win holds more significance than we originally thought. Spread-wise, this sits at Penn State, -6.5 despite being on the road for the first time this season.

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San Jose State at Air Force -19, O/U 56.5

Worst game on the slate as San Jose State is almost a three-touchdown underdog traveling to Air Force. San Jose State sits at 2-1 with a win over Arkansas last week on the road which may indicate they could be competitive away from home.

Air Force is a run-heavy team that is coming off a lose to Boise State and also sits at 2-1 on the year. Before that, they had an impressive win at Colorado and the style of their offense can be problematic if you cannot defend the triple option. They shouldn’t have any issues generating offense against this San Jose State team and as the spread indicates Air Force could have some DFS value for this slate.

Arizona State at California -4.5, O/U 42

Big matchup out west as the 3-1 Arizona State Sun Devils travel to 15th-ranked Cal, who is sitting at 4-0 on the season. The PAC-12 has already taken some big losses and California is one of the few bright spots hoping to make some noise on the national state.

Arizona State couldn’t build upon a big win at Michigan State two weeks ago as they were taken down at home versus Colorado last week. They are having some issues with the offensive line and need to do more to allow RB Eno Benjamin enough room to operate. They also have a true freshman quarterback, so giving him time to throw is another top priority.

DFS Plays

RB Anthony McFarland, Maryland – 7.7k DraftKings

On this four-game slate, we don’t have salaries that are extremely expensive, making even the top-tier players easily available to roster. Anthony McFarland is the top-priced running back on this slate and the explosive upside makes him a quality play.

The Penn State-Maryland game has the highest over/under on the entire slate, and McFarland is going to be involved early and often. I will say, I’m a little disappointed to only see three catches so far this season, but with Maryland blowing out their first two opponents, I think that’s a number that should rise as the season goes on. There is no doubt McFarland and Maryland’s offense will be playing the full game here and if they have any shot, he is going to be the focal point of the attack.

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WR K.J. Hamler, Penn St – 6.1k DraftKings

Wide receiver is very difficult on this slate with many teams having a bunch of guys competing for looks. In addition, a few teams have key pass-catchers looking to return to the field, which could impact target share across the board, so stay tuned for injury updates. Penn State has one of the more stable passing games and K.J. Hamler figures to be heavily involved in this game against Maryland.

Through three games, Hamler has showcased his big-play ability, averaging almost 25 yards per reception. He has 20 targets in three games and is one of the more explosive wide receivers in the entire country. With so many question marks across this slate, Hamler is someone who has to be considered when you look at his role within this offense. Price isn’t a huge issue with reasonable tags across the board and I plan to target the Penn State pass-catcher on most of my teams.

** Make sure to head over and check out our AwesemoOdds weekly show Friday mornings 11:30 EST that breaks down the upcoming weeks NFL and College schedules from a betting perspective **

Games against the Spread

My Pick : Virginia Tech -3

A night game in Lane Stadium is always a big deal, even if this is an average Virginia Tech team against a so-so Duke squad. Both teams are coming off a bye and for Virginia Tech, it’s a critical game to avoid dropping to 0-2 in the conference. The Hokies need to get more out of QB Ryan Willis,who so far has throw seven touchdowns and four interceptions through the first three games. Damon Hazelton, who hasn’t played this year and is the best receiver on Virginia Tech, is currently questionable, and if he can play that would be a huge boost.

On the Duke side, they have a dual-threat quarterback in Quentin Harris, which will always put pressure on opposing defenses. The senior signal-caller has play-makers around him, but it remains to be seen if they can move the ball against quality opponents. Virginia Tech isn’t nearly as good as Alabama, who Duke faced in the opener, but they are also not FCS North Carolina A&T, who was the second team on the Blue Devils’ schedule.

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Both teams have questions coming into this game, and coming off a bye, they should be ready to go. Like many games, turnovers and quarterback play are at the top of the list and specifically for Virginia Tech, they need Willis to step up. If not, it is not impossible we will see a backup get inserted to try and jump start the offense and salvage the season. Being at home in Lane Stadium is a big boost and Virginia Tech has faced a mobile quarterback already, so that should help in this spot. I think off the bye, Virginia Tech has their best game of the season. Duke is well-coached and a quality team, but with the spread at -3, I’m willing to lay the points with the home team in this one.

**Stay tuned for additional CFB Content and make sure to hop in the #premium_cfb channel in our premium Awesemo slack.

Good Luck everyone!

*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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