Low-Priced Value Plays: Week 17 NFL DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel

The Week 17 daily fantasy football slate is an absurd mess of players playing without motivation or not playing at all on top of a slew of injuries. Finding great versus good values is going to be crucial to winning in the final week of the regular season. Here are the best NFL DFS picks values across the board for the Week 17 NFL DFS main slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.

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NFL DFS Picks: Week 17 DraftKings + FanDuel Value Plays

Daily Fantasy Football Pick: Quarterback

Mitchell Trubisky ($5,600 DraftKings / $7,300 FanDuel)

For one final time in the regular season, Trubisky clocks in as a solid value once again. He has played five games since returning to the starting lineup for the Bears. Trubisky has three games over 20 DraftKings points and two games over 24 in that span. Three of those games saw him score a trio of touchdowns and he is looking better as a passer as of his second stint under center. Trubisky has completed 68.1% of his passes and is averaging 7.5 adjusted yards per attempt. He’s posting 248.6 passing yards per game to go along with 16.6 rushing yards per game.

His game this week is set up to be a fantastic spot for fantasy purposes. He gets the Packers in a game with a 50-point total. The Bears are underdogs of 4.5 points but still have a team total of 22.75 points. When at a deficit, the Bears pass on 71% of their plays. That mark trails only the Bucs on the year. A pass-heavy and cheap Trubisky in the perfect game for fantasy purposes is the best value at QB this week.

Daily Fantasy Football Pick: Wide Receiver

Robby Anderson ($5,600 DraftKings / $6,600 FanDuel)

Anderson is simply underpriced based on his massive role within the Carolina offense. Anderson’s 26.6% target share is 10th among all players and is 20th in air yards share. Like Trubisky, Anderson may be on the losing side of his game per Vegas but the overall game environment looks promising. His matchup with the Saints has a 47.5-point total and he’s a touchdown underdog at home which should keep his teaming throwing at an above-average rate throughout the duration of the game. The Saints are credited with having a stalwart defense but that doesn’t show up in their play against receivers. They are allowing opposing wideouts to average 161.4 receiving yards per game as a whole. That mark is 16th in the league. Anderson’s price has continued to fall in recent weeks despite him seeing 29 targets over his previous three games. Anytime a player with his workload hits his current price on either of the main sites, it’s a great time to buy low.

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NFL DFS Pick: Running Back

Alexander Mattison ($6,100 DraftKings / $5,000 FanDuel)

The last time we got Mattison in this spot he flopped spectacularly but there were still promising signs. Mattison started in place of an injured Dalvin Cook in Week 6 and saw 10 carries plus two targets. Those numbers on their own aren’t impressive but his backups in that game combined for three carries and two targets. That means he saw 76.9% of the team’s running back carries and half of the backfield targets. The only reason he didn’t post a massive day was that the Vikings got buried by the Falcons in the first half of the game. Mattison has logged limited practices this week while in concussion protocol so he should be able to suit up as the starter versus the Lions while Dalvin Cook is absent for personal reasons. Assuming he does, it’s a tremendous spot for any running back with a pulse.

The Vikings are favored by a touchdown and have a 30.5 implied team total That total is top-three on the main slate and no team is allowing more FanDuel fantasy points to running backs. If Mattison can’t go, Mike Boone would likely lead the backfield in carries and would be a solid value as well. However, he would be more likely to cede carries to another back so there would be an increased risk in playing him versus Mattison.

Check out the AwesemoOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.

Daily Fantasy Football Pick: Tight End

Donald Parham ($2,800 DraftKings / $4,200 FanDuel)

Parham may have disappointed as a punt play last week, going for 47 yards on two receptions and three targets. At his price, that line doesn’t kill you but it hardly helps either. However, the underlying stats indicate that he should be in line for a bounceback. Parham ran a route on 71.8% of Justin Herbert’s dropbacks and totaled 18 more routes than fellow backup tight end Stephen Anderson. Parham is clearly the starter for the Chargers whenever Henry is out based on his routes and 81% snap share. He gets a Chiefs defense that will likely be resting their notable players this week and is priced like a backup on both sites.


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If you like fantasy football and care about data, there's a 50/50 chance I've written for your favorite site. In a few short years I've covered, season-long, dynasty, best ball, and DFS for football. I used to be watching games and pretend to know what I was talking about but now I just spew numbers that forecast outcomes better than any scout. Come for the numbers, stay for the bad jokes and Zach Zenner references. RIP XFL.

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