Kluber will get a White Sox team that he just dusted for 11 strikeouts in 8 innings a few days ago in Cleveland. Here, the only difference is that this start will be on the road, but a 20.6% swinging-strike rate in his last start shows us we can, at the very least, expect him to miss a lot of bats once again. He may be a bit limited in terms of pitch count, but a sub-$11K price tag on DraftKings more than makes up for a couple fewer pitches.
Flaherty has posted double-digit swinging-strike rates in each of his last 13 starts dating back to July 14, a run that few pitchers have this year. The surface results over his last few starts have been uneven, but that’s forgivable against teams like the Dodgers, Nationals, and Braves that have quite a few tough matchups. He’ll get another tough test tonight, but Milwaukee has a top-10 K% against RHP since August 1 and they come into this game with a minuscule 3.7 implied total. Flaherty should go somewhat overlooked in this range, but I’ll be well over the field tonight in GPPs as I believe he’s got 25+ point upside at sub-10% ownership.
Anderson is simply too cheap tonight to pass up in GPPs, even in Coors Field. At $6K, he’s cheaper than pitchers who are much less talented, such as Sandy Alcantara, Chase Anderson, and his opponent, Zach Eflin. The Phillies are no pushover matchup, but they strikeout over 23% against lefties for the year, and Anderson certainly has the array of pitchers to be great in Coors as we’ve seen time and time again in 2018. He’s someone we should keep an eye on for elevated ownership, but there are other options in this range that will likely keep him from being over 15% owned.
Red Sox (vs. Dylan Bundy)
Bundy has had tons of issues giving up power this year, allowing a whopping 38 home runs and a ton of hard-contact along the way. The Red Sox are a brutal matchup for someone with those issues, especially in hitter-friendly Fenway. Benintendi stands out as one of my favorite plays on the night, but Moreland, Kinsler, and Bogaerts are all solid values in addition to the obvious Betts and JD plays. The terrible Orioles bullpen just drives home the Red Sox as one of the top stacks on the night on DraftKings.
Cubs (vs. Jameson Taillon)
Taillon is a respected pitcher, but this sets up to be a tough spot for him in what could be a Wrigley wind game with some lefty Cubs power on the other side. Taillon is fantastic against righties, but has allowed one of the highest line drive rates (25.3%) against lefties, and the Cubs best bats are much too cheap to overlooked. Murphy ($3,800), Rizzo ($4,300), Bryant ($4,000), and Baez ($4,700) all make for solid one-offs, but as a stack, they allow you to fit in a stud SP1 while still having great bats.
Jose Martinez (vs. Chase Anderson)
Justin Turner (vs. Robbie Ray)
Franmil Reyes (vs. Derek Holland)
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