If we get confirmation that Chirinos will come in to tonight’s game as the long reliever, he makes for an excellent GPP option on DraftKings for cheap. He’s been good at missing bats all year posting an 11% swinging-strike rate and 33.2% chase rate on the year and usually comes at lower ownership when he doesn’t start, even though he avoids the top of the order one extra time. The Blue Jays have struck out over 23% of the time against righties over the last month, so we get strikeout upside and low ownership to pair with a stud like Max Scherzer in tournaments.
Another viable pitcher punt on a Scherzer night, Reed is coming off a fantastic outing against the Cubs in Wrigley where he struck out 10 hitters in 5 innings with no runs allowed. In that start, he posted a 16.5% swinging-strike rate despite just a 55% first-pitch strike rate. The Marlins, while not a great strikeout matchup for the season, have fanned at a near 28% rate against lefties over the last month with an anemic 63 wRC+ in that span. As a favorite in a big park against a bad team, Reed makes a lot of sense as a low-priced option on DraftKings tonight.
Rays (vs. Sam Gaviglio)
Gaviglio has run into a couple of tough matchups as of late, but I think he will have healthy ownership tonight on DK, but this is another brutal spot for him. The Rays have some decent lefties in Choi, Lowe, and Wendle in the middle of the order, but the stack becomes one of the best because of the potential to rack up points via stolen bases. Gaviglio holds runners as poorly as any pitcher in the MLB, so anyone with speed gets a big bump in projection, especially guys like Smith, Pham, Wendle, and Kiermaier. If they can get on base, they should be able to rack up points in bunches without needing to hit home runs.
Nationals (vs. Jason Vargas)
Jason Vargas is able to miss bats at times, but he gives up power to both lefties and righties, and in total, he’s allowed 17 home runs in total with at least a .346 wOBA against both sides. Lefties usually go underowned against Vargas despite his poor numbers against them (5.08 xFIP, 1.55 WHIP, 25.9% LD rate), so two LHH that crush lefties in Juan Soto and Bryce Harper make for a couple of my favorite plays on the night. Turner, Robles, Rendon, and Zimmerman will be popular, but it’s the lefties that drive home the Nats as a great stack for GPPs.
Scooter Gennett (vs. Jeff Brigham)
Adalberto Mondesi (vs. Matt Boyd)
Yoan Moncada (vs. Josh Tomlin)
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