Fantasy MLB DFS: Tuesday, June 18 has all 30 teams in action for the main slate on Yahoo!, DraftKings and FanDuel, along with several robust “sub-slates” for all of your fantasy baseball lineups.
Tonight there are several pitchers to target and some excellent hitting environments, but before you lock in your baseball lineups, make sure to check out Awesemo’s MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
For Tuesday’s free Spotlight Hitters and Stacks article click here
I wanted to put a different spin on Spotlight DFS Pitchers, so I’m giving everyone a peek behind the curtain on how I look at them. Below you’ll find two tables, one for DraftKings and one for FanDuel, with the pitcher pool for today’s slate. In the table, you’ll find the pitcher’s name, salary, my projection and my percentage likelihood that they hit a particular target score.
This is the information that helps me make my decisions for which pitchers to roster. Using my projected stat line for a pitcher, I can estimate their chances of scoring 45+ FD points or 30+ DK points. These targets ignore the points acquired for getting the win, as I use the Vegas odds to set those scores for my pitchers.
Since I am a strict MME player in baseball, these are the thresholds I’ve determined I want on a day-to-day basis to try and win a tournament. Because of the difference in roster construction between the sites, I end up with a concentrated pool on FanDuel and a more spread out pool on DraftKings.
There’s a special place in hell for teams that postpone baseball games due to sunshine. Lucky for us, we have a full 15-game slate to take the pain away.
We have quite a few aces going today, but I think Jacob deGrom is the best option. Targeting the Braves is not typically something I do, but with Justin Verlander sitting at $12,000 on FanDuel, I can’t imagine not starting with deGrom. That’s not to say that Verlander is a bad option. He’s my second favorite pitcher on the slate, but that price is hard to stomach with some of the value available in the pitching department. The Reds aren’t typically a big strikeout team, and the ballpark certainly plays up hitting, so this might be a spot where Verlander’s ownership stays significantly lower than normal.
After these guys, the decisions get difficult. Depending on how much money you have available, I see four guys that will make up the large majority of my FD ownership: Clayton Kershaw, Brandon Woodruff, Cole Hamels and Jack Flaherty. Kershaw will likely fall off since he’s bookended by two pitchers I prefer more. He’s a casualty of pricing. Flaherty at $8000 will be the one that jumps to the front of the line. If you were adjusting Flaherty’s price for a matchup with the Marlins, you would increase it by $1000, at least. He’s my favorite cash game option.
On DraftKings, most of the top end stuff stays the same. deGrom is still my number one, and Verlander is still my number two. The four-man band actually adds a member, as Patrick Corbin is just $8200. I had a ton of him yesterday for the lovely postponement, and today will be similar. He’s just underpriced. He should never be $100 cheaper than Jordan Yamamoto. If I’m paying all the way down on DK, Yusei Kikuchi looks like the best option. The Royals active roster has a wRC+ of 88. That’s…not good. Kikuchi has good enough stuff to justify some exposure at just $5300. If I’m paying down, he’s my guy.
It seems like each site has one guy that is priced incorrect. Yahoo’s representative is David Price at $37. If you’re looking in the mid-tier on Yahoo, that’s the spot to go. deGrom and Verlander are still the best options. Kikuchi is completely off limits here at $42. That price is impossible to get to with Flaherty at the exact same price. All of the quality pitching is packed in the top, from Verlander to Flaherty. Paying down is really difficult. Guys like Merrill Kelly and/or Zach Plesac are viable, but not exactly exciting. I would rather save a bit on bats to lock in some of the pitching I am most confident in.
Of course, please do stop by our Awesemo YouTube channel for loads of FREE MLB DFS content, including fantasy MLB lineup advice on The Strategy Show with Josh Engleman and Loughy, as well as MLB picks on Four Corners with Chris Spags, and the MLB Deep Dive with Awesemo, Loughy and ShipMyMoney, where they’ll discuss Awesemo’s MLB rankings.