Monday was quite the low-scoring slate, as legitimately no stacks or individual hitters did anything noteworthy. Pitching wasn’t a whole lot better, as Tyler Glasnow left after four innings with right elbow inflammation and Lance Lynn was mediocre at best. In fact, the highest-scoring player on the entire slate was none other than Rockies starter Austin Gomber, who shut down the Padres over eight shutout innings when San Diego had the biggest implied run total on the board. Some might call that lucky, but our own Chris Spags beat the drum for him, and viewers of the MLB Strategy Show on the Awesemo YouTube channel were handsomely rewarded (in other words, tune in). On to Tuesday we go, where there is somehow an even bigger 15-game slate for which to make MLB DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel.
MLB DFS Slate Starter: Picks & Strategy | June 15
***Get a SNEAK PEEK with our free premium data, tools and content of the day, the Awesemo Premium MLB DFS Player Rankings.***
With No Traces of Aces, Get Whack with Your Stack
One of the beautiful things about baseball is how new starting pitchers drastically change the outlook of an otherwise identical matchup during the course of a three- or four-game series. That is why all action is voided by Vegas whenever the two expected starting pitchers do not face one another, as it’s a massively different outlook for an opposing team facing an ace for more than half a game than some scrub filling in for a scratch. That usually helps to narrow down the list of stacks to roster by default, as obvious spots emerge to fade based on the talent of the starting pitching.
But on an MLB DFS slate such as the one for tonight, where the only bona fide ace is in Coors (Yu Darvish), almost every team on the slate has some sort of case that can be made for stacking them up. Vegas seems to agree with that assessment; if disregarding the Padres’ absurd 6.9 implied run total, the other 29 ball clubs have implied run totals that range between 3.4 and 5.3. That is an extremely narrow margin that any team can outperform with one swing of the bat, providing a number of stack options to consider.
To narrow down stack selections, utilize Awesemo’s Top Stacks tool like lineups depend on it. With so many viable options available based on pricing, hitting environment and power upside, sensitivity to ownership will be a big tiebreaker on whether to prioritize certain teams or not. So do not write off any stacks until their ownership becomes clear — except when it comes to the Padres.
Latest MLB DFS Content
- MLB DFS Contrarian Stacks Today: Against the Grain Aaron Nola (April 26)
- MLB DFS: Stokastic’s Tom Kennedy With TWO DraftKings MLB Wins in One Night | How the Sims Helped Him Out
- DraftKings Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: Best Picks From MLB DFS Contest Sims | Randy Arozarena (April 26 Main Slate)
- MLB DFS Picks, Spotlight Pitchers & Top Stacks: SP1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Mariners Bats (April 25)
- MLB DFS Punt Plays For DraftKings and FanDuel (April 25)
- Stokastic DFS on Youtube
Back to Buffalo for the Blue Jays
After two months of playing home games down in Dunedin, Fla., the Blue Jays returned “home” to Sahlen Field in Buffalo on June 1. With the U.S./Canada border still yet to reopen, there will be at least a month of baseball played there before a possible return to Toronto. The Blue Jays excelled at this venue in 2020, going 17-9 while averaging an astonishing 6.1 runs per game on the way to a surprise postseason berth.
While the Buffalo ballpark pales in comparison to the run expectation of their now defunct Florida residency, it wouldn’t matter much where the Blue Jays play at the moment based on some of the Statcast data. Just look at their xBA and xSLG so far this season:
In other words, keep investing in Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and company despite the change in venue. With the massive price tags for both him and Bo Bichette, they will most likely be contrarian spend-ups in this spot. But if not spending up for Coors, almost everything becomes contrarian above $5,000 on DraftKings and $4,000 on FanDuel.
That makes this one-two punch one of the better mini-stacks on the board to roster against Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery can limit hard contact at times and doesn’t beat himself with an exceptional 5.6% walk rate. But when hitters do connect, the max exit velocity puts Montgomery in the bottom 10% of the league, meaning the ball goes an awfully long way. That makes Guerrero and Bichette intriguing tournament options to go yard.
Final Thoughts for Your MLB DFS Lineups
- If you thought the Padres were chalky on Monday, get ready for gas can Chi Chi González to start for the Rockies in 95-degree weather with wind blowing out to left. Accompanied with the aforementioned 6.9 implied run total for an opening line, this San Diego lineup makes for a far more terrifying fade than yesterday.
- DraftKings and FanDuel must be sharing notes, as Trevor Rogers and Julio Urias have identical price tags on both sites ($10,000 and $9,600, respectively). There is no way of knowing as of writing this where ownership will pan out for these two, but Darvish may out-project both for slightly less despite a date in Coors. The lowest-owned combination of the three is the play on DraftKings.
- Just play the Christian Yelich.
Check out today’s MLB Strategy Show with Spags and Greg Ehrenberg!
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!
[MLBPAGE]
