Hello, UFC fans. This weekend, we have a 11-fight card in Las Vegas, including a main event between Uriah Hall and Anderson Silva. The main GPP has $100,000 going to first place with a total of 400,000 being paid out. Here I will offer the fighters I feel have the most upside for DFS purposes. Let’s dig into some UFC DFS picks.
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UFC DFS Picks for UFC Vegas 12: Hall vs Silva | DraftKings + FanDuel
Core Plays
Adrian Yanez | DraftKings: $9,200, FanDuel $16
Yanez is a pressure fighter who prefers to walk his opponents down. He will be making his UFC debut, looking to keep his streak going after knocking out Brady Huang, though he lost a spilt decision to Miles Johns back in 2018. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections have Yanez as the third-highest-projected fighter on the slate with 77% win odds.
Kevin Holland | DraftKings: $9,300, FanDuel: $20
Holland is taking this fight on two weeks’ notice. He was originally set to face Makhmud Muradov but withdrew due to undisclosed reasons. He will now be facing Charlie Ontiveros, who is taking this fight on three days’ notice, which should be an easier matchup for Holland. Furthermore, I expect Holland to be better everywhere, and he should be able to win striking exchange by utilizing his reach advantage and movement. UFC DFS Fighter projections give Holland 57% win odds.
Mid-Priced Picks
Jason Witt | DraftKings: $8,300, FanDuel: $16
Witt will be looking to make a statement after losing his UFC debut via knockout. Furthermore, he took this fight on short notice which could have played a factor in his poor performance. Witt has seventeen wins on his resume, so this loss via KO in 48 seconds has lit a fire. He has a diverse arsenal of strikes, along with training at James Krause’s Glory MMA and fitness. Awesemo’s UFC Fighter projections gives Witt 58% win odds vs 20% ownership, which could be a good leverage play.
Wanna bet?
Awesemo’s UFC DFS fighter projections have Cortney Casey popping. She has nearly a 70% chance of winning her match, according to Awesemo expert projections. Can we lock her in on our UFC betting card? Check out the Awesemo OddsShopper tool to find the best odds and spoortsbook offering the best bets.
Bryce Mitchell | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $17
Mitchell has been on an absolute tear of late. He is 3-0 since making his UFC debut, including an impressive decision win over Charles Rosa at UFC 249. Mitchell is an extremely dangerous grappler, and his jiu-jitsu is the most dangerous aspect of his game. I expect Mitchell to look to get this fight to the canvas, where he should have a clear advantage over the experienced Andre Fili. If we look at Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projection, Mitchell has 58% win odds with a 31% chance for a knockout.
Value Picks
Maurice Greene | DraftKings: $7,400, FanDuel: $10
Green is a strong grappler and a dangerous submission artist. In fact, Greene has finished five of his opponents via tap-out. Greene will have a clear edge if this fight hits the canvas. I expect Greene will try to get this fight to the canvas early. There is risk here given the power Greg Hardy possesses, although it is worth the risk due to the possibility of a submission for a fighter priced this cheap. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections give Greene 25% win odds against 13% ownership.
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