NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings Call 811 Before You Dig 200

The field is set for Saturday’s totally not confusing, horribly convoluted titled name at Phoenix with Daniel Hemric and Brandon Jones on the front row. Let’s get into the top NASCAR DFS plays for the Call 811 Before You Dig 200 Presented by Arizona 811 on DraftKings.

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Call 811 Before You Dig 200 NASCAR DFS Picks

Daniel Hemric, 1st ($9,700) GPP (Dominator)

Brandon Jones, 2nd ($9,500) Cash/GPP (Dominator)

The trend at Phoenix (past four races) has been someone from the front row will inevitably lead the most laps. We have to decide between Brandon Jones and JGR teammate Daniel Hemric, who is most likely to be the top lap leader from this pairing. The stats say it should be Hemric, as the pole sitter has led the most laps at Phoenix for three straight races. However, in a driver comparison, I’m leaning Jones over Hemric.

This is Hemric’s first pole since Kansas in 2018 and the fifth of his career. His last stint as a pole sitter was pretty good, as he led 128 laps and finished second. However, Kansas is definitely not Phoenix, and therein lies the problem. For Hemric’s Xfinity career, despite racing for both Richard Childress and Dale Earnhardt Jr., he’s led a total of one lap, and last year he was abysmal at Phoenix with finishes of 30th and 25th.

Brand Jones, however, has given us a glimpse of something worth building around. Jones won this Spring event last year beating out Kyle Busch, in a long run and leading 24 laps in the process. In the fall, despite not being in the Championship four, Jones finished third. I know, neither case is that compelling. However, the trends say someone will take advantage of clean air early and lead perhaps the entire first segment. I’ll side with the driver who actually has a win next to his name and not a laundry list of runner-ups.

The optimal lineup will probably have two dominators. Either driver gives you access to a potential lap leader with a major discount compared to either Austin Cindric or Justin Allgaier.

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A.J. Allmendinger, 4th ($10,400) Cash/GPP (Dominator)

This will be Allmendinger’s first Xfinity start at Phoenix since 2008, yet that doesn’t really concern us when Allmendinger has 19 career starts at Phoenix in the Cup Series. Besides perhaps J.J. Yeley, no other driver has seen this track more in Saturday’s field. Allmendinger is well acquainted with how to properly apply the brake and get back to the gas in the flatter turns, skills that he’s acquired throughout his years of road racing experience.

It’s this knowledge that has made Phoenix one of Allmendinger’s better, non-road racing, tracks throughout his career. He only has three tracks where his average Cup finish sits better than 20th: Homestead, Martinsville and Phoenix. I’m looking for Allmendinger to take this experience and knowledge and be a contender for the win Saturday.

Coming off his win at Las Vegas last Saturday, Allmendinger is third in outright odds at DraftKings Sportsbook behind just Austin Cindric and Justin Allgaier.

Ty Gibbs, 27th ($8,900) Cash/GPP/Core

It’s not often a driver gets a nearly 100% increase in price from his last start … and he’s still underpriced. Alas, here we are with Gibbs back in the Joe Gibbs All-Star car. This case is simple and you don’t need to overthink it unless you’re worried about his ownership getting out of control.

First, he has loads of place differential with the potential to win. Second, we know the talent is there based on his road course win at Daytona. Gibbs did in one start what Hemric has failed to do in 179 career NASCAR starts: Win. Third, we have Phoenix history to look at, a third-place finish in the ARCA Series from last year when he started on the pole, finished third and led 122 laps. That is not apples to apples, but I will take it. Fourth, Gibbs is racing in this weekend’s ARCA Series General Tire 150, giving him valuable track time most other drivers won’t have access to. Lock and load him in all formats this weekend.

Blaine Perkins, 28th ($4,700) Cash/GPP/Core

Speaking of Ty Gibbs, here is our seriously underpriced play of the week. Perkins, an ARCA Menards West driver, is making his first career NASCAR start. Last season, in the ARCA Menards West Series, Perkins had three victories. Unfortunately for Perkins, he lost an engine in the Series finale at Phoenix, finishing 25th. Regardless, this isn’t Sam Mayer but at least it’s a driver who has actual victories attached to his resume.

He’s taking over the reins of No. 23, previously piloted by Tyler Reddick the past two weeks. Perkins will be in a good car and we know Our Motorsports will compete. When you combine relevant talent with this vehicle, a good day pegs Perkins out at around 15th. However, when you add in that ridiculous salary, it’s hard to foresee a scenario where Perkins fails to not be optimal Saturday.

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JJ Yeley, 33rd ($6,700) Cash/GPP

Simply put, if you can afford Yeley you play him. After bringing home a top-20 finish at Homestead, Yeley is back in the Rick Ware Racing No. 17 this weekend at his “home track”. This will be Yeley’s 21st career start at Phoenix in the Xfinity Series. In 12 of those 20 races, Yeley has finished in the top-20 from everyone to Joe Gibbs down James Finch and Bryan Smith. The top-20 is where we should see Yeley again. at his salary, he isn’t a must-play. However, with his place differential, he is the safest play on the board in the $6,000 range.

David Starr, 37th ($5,300) Cash/GPP

How can I go from imploring you not to play Starr one week to recommending him the next? It’s all about the car he’s in. This week sees Starr go from racing for Carl Long over to Shigeaki Hatori in the No. 61 with Wattaburger on the hood. the fear of starting and parking is gone. This No. 61 hasn’t been fantastic this season, with finishes of 25th, 29th, 23rd and 28th, but those were with Robby Lyons, Stephen Leicht and Chad Finchum behind the wheel. Those are not stellar drivers, but the car is out there running laps and not falling apart — unlike B.J. Mcleod’s equipment.

Now we get the veteran Starr making his 13th career Xfinity start at Phoenix. If this No. 61 continues to run as we’ve seen it do this season, Starr probably picks up 10 to 15 spots, making him a value play at his salary.

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Author

Phillip Bennetzen

Phill Bennetzen is the creator of the RaceSheets; all-inclusive stats and data NASCAR DFS spreadsheets for the Trucks, Xfinity, and Cup Series. Phill and the RaceSheets can be found at racesheetsdfs.substack.com