NFL DFS Top Stacks Tool for Showdown and Single Game Plays
Below you can see Stokastic’s Top Showdown and Single-Game NFL Plays Tool.
Legend
“TS”: Top Scorer
“SW”: Salary Weighted
“2-6/2-5%”: Probability the player will be ranked 2-6/5 in total score.
“%/$1k” Percentage points for 2-6% per $1,000.
DraftKings
| Name | SW Top% | %/$1k | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Salary | CptOwn | Top% | CPT Optimal % | SW Top% | 2to6% | UtilOwn | %/$1k | UTIL Optimal % | Leverage |
| Jake Moody | 5,200 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 5.6 | 0.19 | 19.8 | 21.2 | 3.81 | 26.2 | 7.1 |
| Brock Purdy | 10,000 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 6.76 | 68.0 | 37.5 | 6.80 | 36.7 | -2.5 |
| Sam Darnold | 6,000 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Christian McCaffrey | 12,000 | 17.2 | 35.9 | 8.8 | 28.91 | 53.9 | 48.5 | 4.49 | 49.7 | -7.2 |
| Elijah Mitchell | 2,800 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 0.04 | 0.0 | -4.0 |
| Jordan Mason | 600 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.00 | 0.0 | -0.9 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 800 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.00 | 0.1 | 5.4 | 0.13 | 2.2 | -2.9 |
| Deebo Samuel | 9,200 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 5.36 | 37.9 | 32.4 | 4.12 | 34.3 | 1.1 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 8,800 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 7.25 | 36.6 | 30.1 | 4.16 | 28.9 | -2.4 |
| Jauan Jennings | 4,000 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 0.58 | 3.5 | -4.4 |
| Ronnie Bell | 200 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Willie Snead IV | 200 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Ray-Ray McCloud III | 200 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 0.3 | -2.5 |
| Chris Conley | 200 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 0.50 | 0.6 | -1.8 |
| George Kittle | 6,400 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 8.4 | 7.25 | 32.8 | 28.3 | 5.13 | 34.7 | 7.9 |
| Charlie Woerner | 200 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 0.3 | -2.5 |
| Ross Dwelley | 200 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Brayden Willis | 200 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.0 | -0.4 |
| Chiefs | 3,400 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 5.0 | 1.14 | 12.1 | 17.7 | 3.56 | 22.2 | 6.0 |
| Harrison Butker | 5,000 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.19 | 10.5 | 16.0 | 2.10 | 15.0 | -0.1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 10,600 | 10.0 | 12.1 | 9.4 | 11.03 | 67.7 | 45.6 | 6.39 | 48.5 | 2.3 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 6,000 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Isiah Pacheco | 8,000 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 6.76 | 44.1 | 32.1 | 5.51 | 34.6 | 1.9 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 200 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.9 | 5.00 | 17.6 | 5.0 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 1,200 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 0.33 | 2.0 | -2.4 |
| La'Mical Perine | 200 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 0.1 | -1.7 |
| Kadarius Toney | 1,400 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Rashee Rice | 7,600 | 9.5 | 8.1 | 11.6 | 10.30 | 42.7 | 37.9 | 5.62 | 45.3 | 9.5 |
| Skyy Moore | 2,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 0.10 | 0.4 | -3.6 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 3,000 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.00 | 4.3 | 12.1 | 1.43 | 12.1 | 1.0 |
| Richie James Jr. | 400 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 0.75 | 3.8 | -2.0 |
| Justin Watson | 2,400 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.00 | 2.5 | 10.6 | 1.04 | 9.9 | 0.2 |
| Justyn Ross | 200 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Mecole Hardman Jr. | 1,600 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 0.13 | 0.4 | -2.7 |
| Travis Kelce | 10,200 | 10.7 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 13.45 | 49.6 | 40.1 | 4.86 | 44.7 | 3.0 |
| Noah Gray | 1,800 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 0.54 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 1.06 | 9.7 | 1.1 |
| Blake Bell | 200 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.00 | 0.5 | -2.8 |
| James Winchester | 200 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| 49ers | 4,400 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 0.88 | 13.6 | 15.9 | 3.09 | 15.8 | 0.6 |
FanDuel
| Name | %/$1k | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Salary | CptOwn | TS% | SW TS% | CPT Optimal % | FlxOwn | 2to5% | %/$1k | UTIL Optimal % | Leverage |
| Jake Moody | 9,000 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 27.9 | 18.4 | 2.04 | 35.0 | 10.4 |
| Brock Purdy | 14,500 | 7.4 | 13.5 | 13.1 | 9.5 | 35.7 | 60.7 | 4.19 | 36.5 | 2.9 |
| Sam Darnold | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Christian McCaffrey | 17,500 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 27.4 | 9.1 | 29.3 | 49.4 | 2.82 | 28.5 | -14.7 |
| Elijah Mitchell | 7,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | -1.3 |
| Jordan Mason | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 5,500 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.7 | -2.1 |
| Deebo Samuel | 11,500 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 10.3 | 28.6 | 25.3 | 2.20 | 31.4 | 5.3 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 10,500 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 26.7 | 26.3 | 2.50 | 29.2 | 3.9 |
| Jauan Jennings | 7,000 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 0.16 | 3.4 | -2.1 |
| Ronnie Bell | 6,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Willie Snead IV | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Ray-Ray McCloud III | 5,500 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
| Chris Conley | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| George Kittle | 10,000 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 7.1 | 25.5 | 23.0 | 2.30 | 29.2 | 5.7 |
| Charlie Woerner | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| Ross Dwelley | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Brayden Willis | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
| Chiefs | 9,000 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 11.2 | 1.24 | 12.7 | 3.3 |
| Harrison Butker | 9,500 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 14.1 | 9.3 | 0.98 | 11.9 | -0.9 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 15,000 | 13.4 | 21.2 | 19.9 | 15.1 | 45.9 | 57.7 | 3.85 | 44.7 | 0.5 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Isiah Pacheco | 12,500 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 24.9 | 33.6 | 2.69 | 25.4 | -3.6 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 6,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.08 | 1.7 | -1.9 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 6,500 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.03 | 0.2 | -1.9 |
| La'Mical Perine | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
| Kadarius Toney | 6,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Rashee Rice | 11,000 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 9.1 | 32.5 | 29.6 | 2.69 | 33.6 | 1.2 |
| Skyy Moore | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.8 | -2.5 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 7,500 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 0.29 | 7.6 | -1.8 |
| Richie James Jr. | 5,500 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.04 | 1.0 | -0.4 |
| Justin Watson | 6,500 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 9.1 | 1.3 | 0.20 | 6.9 | -1.8 |
| Justyn Ross | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| Mecole Hardman Jr. | 5,500 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.02 | 0.6 | -0.3 |
| Travis Kelce | 13,000 | 10.8 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 12.5 | 31.4 | 37.9 | 2.92 | 33.9 | 4.2 |
| Noah Gray | 5,500 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 0.18 | 6.8 | -2.5 |
| Blake Bell | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| James Winchester | 5,000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | ||||
| 49ers | 8,500 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 15.4 | 12.9 | 1.52 | 17.4 | 2.0 |
Yahoo!
| Name | Salary | CptOwn | TS% | SW TS% | FlxOwn | 2to5% | %/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Salary | CptOwn | TS% | SW TS% | FlxOwn | 2to5% | %/$1k |
| Brock Purdy | N/A | 0.00 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 63.7 | 0 |
| Sam Darnold | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Christian McCaffrey | N/A | 0.00 | 34.2 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 50.9 | 0 |
| Elijah Mitchell | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Jordan Mason | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Deebo Samuel | N/A | 0.00 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 27.9 | 0 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | N/A | 0.00 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 28.8 | 0 |
| Jauan Jennings | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Ronnie Bell | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Willie Snead IV | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud III | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Chris Conley | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| George Kittle | N/A | 0.00 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 24.9 | 0 |
| Charlie Woerner | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Ross Dwelley | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Brayden Willis | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Chiefs | 18 | 0.00 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 12.6 | 700 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 38 | 0.00 | 21.4 | 36.1 | 0.00 | 59.9 | 1,576 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 20 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 17 | 0.00 | 5.6 | 21.1 | 0.00 | 36.4 | 2,141 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 12 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.6 | 50 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 13 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 23 |
| La'Mical Perine | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Kadarius Toney | 11 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Rashee Rice | 12 | 0.00 | 4.5 | 24.0 | 0.00 | 32.5 | 2,708 |
| Skyy Moore | 14 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.1 | 7 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 12 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.8 | 233 |
| Richie James Jr. | 10 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 30 |
| Justin Watson | 11 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.6 | 145 |
| Justyn Ross | 10 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Mecole Hardman Jr. | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Travis Kelce | 34 | 0.00 | 8.3 | 15.6 | 0.00 | 40.6 | 1,194 |
| Noah Gray | 11 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.3 | 118 |
| Blake Bell | 10 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| James Winchester | N/A | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 49ers | N/A | 0.00 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 14.3 | 0 |
How to Use the NFL DFS Top Stacks Tool for Showdown
Comparing ownership to projection is essential to success in DFS tournaments, and DraftKings Showdown and FanDuel Single Game add a new wrinkle to the strategy with a 1.5x multiplier for one player. This tool will help you decide who to put in both your multiplier spot and your remaining flex spots. For Showdown this feature will be available for both Stokastic+ and Stokastic+ Express memberships.
The concept of this tool is that you will need the top scoring player on the slate to be your 1.5x and the next highest scoring 4-5 players to be in the flex positions, salary permitting. My table will tell you the probability that each player will be the highest scorer and also a salary adjusted version to tell you the value you’re getting per % as far as probability, and then also for the flex position to be in the top 6 on DK and top 5 on FD excluding first place to model the optimal lineup.
If you’re interested in other premium content for showdown/single-game slates, check out Stokastic’s Showdown/Single-Game Projections and Stokastic’s Ownership Projections. If you’re looking for tools & content for other NFL slates, head over to Stokastic’s NFL Projections, Stokastic’s NFL Ownership Projections, Stokastic’s NFL Data Central, NFL Projected Stats, and NFL Rankings. For FREE DraftKings and FanDuel NFL DFS content, including FREE NFL DFS Strategy shows on our YouTube and Podcast Platforms, NFL DFS cheat sheets, and expert picks, check out our NFL home page!
