NBA Picks: Prop Report presented by No House Advantage

Welcome to the Prop Report presented by No House Advantage! For those new to the site, NHA is a fantasy sports app that offers prop-based contests across multiple sports. Simply pick your five favorite player props for a given slate, rank them five (most confident) through one (least confident) and receive those points for each prop that hits.

The best part? Instead of facing a house advantage on props like you would with a sportsbook, No House Advantage has purely peer-to-peer contests with big cash prizes. Sign up here or download the app from the App Store to get started.

I’m going to give you the three props I’ve got my eye on for you to utilize in your three-, four- and five-point confidence slots on Tuesday’s two-game NBA slate.

Eric Bledsoe — OVER 14.5 Points

It is hard not to be a fan of a prop that looks good even with Giannis Antetokounmpo in and excellent with him out. Considering the latter is my lean, this instantly becomes a five-confidence play for me. Expect Bledsoe’s minutes to be extended by default, as Mike Budenholzer elected to go small with George Hill and Donte DiVincenzo being rotated in to accompany Bledsoe rather than replace him in Game 4. Bledsoe has usage in the 30s with Giannis off the court this season, so I expect a healthy dose of shot attempts for him in a do-or-die Game 5.

Anthony Davis — OVER 42.5 Points + Rebounds

My initial lean was to just take the over 12.5 rebounds, but I landed on this prop instead for a couple reasons. Similar to poker, I feel like betting a combined prop that isn’t juiced like this gives you a couple extra couple outs. Also, betting 30.5 points or 12.5 rebounds individually could both fractionally go against you, so lumping the production together when I get the half-point favors me (and you like both props but can only choose one). Lastly, I favored his rebounding prop since the Lakers have elected to run their version of a small-ball rotation to match Houston. JaVale McGee and Dwight Howard off the floor only helps Davis’ rebounding rate and should help you win some money on NHA.

Bam Adebayo — OVER 11.5 Rebounds

With Giannis off the floor for an entire game, the opportunity for Adebayo to gobble up every defensive rebound cannot be understated. He’s also had trouble staying on the court due to foul trouble greatly influenced by meeting Giannis at the rim, so this couldn’t be a better setup for Adebayo to smash if that injury news breaks his way. It doesn’t hurt that Adebayo has already exceeded this 11.5 rebound line in three of four games already this series. This is a play I’ll seriously be considering for my five-confidence slot as well.

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Author

Eric Lindquist

Eric Lindquist hails from Sioux Falls, South Dakota (yes, that’s the one with Mount Rushmore). A steady diet of three SportsCenters a day at an early age led to his obsession with sports, one that 30 years later is paying dividends for him as a successful DFS player and sports bettor. Despite over half a million dollars in net career earnings, he’s most passionate about helping others achieve their financial goals, an energy you can witness on the daily in his current role as a host and analyst at Stokastic. He’s a former Division I golfer at Iowa State, wishes he was a former Minnesota sports fan, and is a proud father to a 100-pound Bernese Mountain dog named Duke that wishes he could just eat people food instead of the crap he and his wife feed him on the daily.