Luke Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks will take on the Los Angeles Clippers tonight, for the second part of their two-game set. Doncic triple-doubled in the first one, but he only totaled 25 points, and the Mavericks failed to surpass 100 points in the loss. Can he bounce back tonight? Let’s look at the NBA player prop market to see if we can find an edge.
NBA Player Props & Betting Picks: Luka Doncic O/U 28.5 Points
Luka Doncic’s Points Projection
Using Awesemo’s NBA Betting Player Props tool, we can see that Doncic should score 25.87 points. That’s well below where this total is set across the market.
The Dallas star averages only 28.1 points per game, too, and he hasn’t surpassed this total since before the All-Star Break. In fact, Doncic has gone over this figure in just 40% of his starts, and he failed to go over in either of his games against the Clippers.
This makes sense, as these two teams play incredibly slowly. The Clippers rank second-slowest in the NBA, and the Mavericks aren’t far behind, as they play at the fifth-slowest pace.
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Luka Doncic’s NBA Player Prop Best Odds
Doncic will have a hard time going over this poorly-set total. You can find it at its highest at SugarHouse and DraftKings Sportsbook. Interestingly, those books also have the best juice on this line (-110). Should you disagree with our projections and favor the over, you can find the lowest-set total with the same juice at William Hill (-110). That said, our projections predict that he’ll stay below that total, too. You can head over to OddsShopper to see the most recent lines and confirm that you’re getting the best deal.
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