NBA SuperDraft Lineup Picks: Today's Expert DFS Plays

Devin Booker may have been ejected last night, but it still wasn’t enough for the Lakers to top the Suns. Los Angeles will have to take the court again tonight, and they won’t have LeBron James. Their matchup with the Kings makes for one of the more interesting game’s on tonight’s seven-game slate. Here’s a quick breakdown of the best options for your NBA SuperDraft lineup picks.

If you haven’t heard of SuperDraft, it’s an innovative new way to play DFS. Instead of using a salary cap, players receive multipliers that inversely correspond to their value. For example, Stephen Curry will come with a lower multiplier because he should play most of the game. In comparison, a rotational player like Jae Crowder will receive a higher multiplier to compensate for his limited minutes.

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SuperDraft NBA Fantasy Picks Advice & Strategy | Mar. 3

Top Five Low-Multiplier Plays

Using Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals, here are the top five high-value players for your NBA SuperDraft lineup. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or below 1.35x.

Damian Lillard (1.15x)

Lillard and the Trail Blazers will play the Warriors tonight, and the game is projected for the second-most points on the slate (234.5). Lillard should have to carry a lot of the offensive workload, and he is projected for the second-most fantasy points post multiplier. Only Enes Kanter (1.55x) ranks higher in our projections.

Nikola Vucevic (1.25x)

I like Vucevic a lot here. The Magic face the Hawks, who are on the wrong end of a back-to-back, and Vucevic’s multiplier is fairly high due to the matchup against Clint Capela. Vucevic averaged 27.7 points, 12.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists over his last seven appearances too.

LaMelo Ball (1.25x)

Charlotte and Minnesota are projected for the third-most points on this slate (233.5). That puts Ball in a fantastic spot, but his multiplier hasn’t been lowered to compensate. He ranks fourth overall in our SuperDraft rankings for tonight.

James Harden (1x)

Harden may not have a multiplier here, but it’s a revenge game him, and Houston hasn’t won a game since Feb. 4. There is always a risk of a blowout, but since this is Brooklyn’s last game until after the All-Star Break, Steve Nash could leave Harden in for some extra minutes. The Rockets have been terrible against guards too, which only adds to Harden’s value.

Karl-Anthony Towns (1.15x)

The Hornets have struggled against opposing bigs, and they may not have Cody Zeller tonight, so Towns has an easy path to a big game. The multiplier could be higher, but Towns still ranks fifth in our projections regardless.

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Top Five High-Multiplier Plays

I’ll also use Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals to identify the top five low-value players for tonight’s slate. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or above 1.65x.

Dennis Schroder (1.65x)

With James out, Schroder should be in for a lot of extra work tonight. He has played well since his return to the court, as he averaged 17 points, 3.0 rebounds and 4.7 assists over that three-game stretch. Those numbers should jump considerably tonight, making Schroder a fantastic high-multiplier option.

Anthony Edwards (1.65x)

Edwards has been on fire recently. He averaged 22 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists in his most recent three games. Since tonight’s matchup with the Hornets is projected for a ton of points, you should feel comfortable firing up Edwards in your NBA SuperDraft lineup.

Marvin Bagley (1.65x)

The Kings will take on the LeBron-less Lakers tonight. Sacramento is favored to win the game, which has a respectable projected total of 224 points, and Bagley is coming off a double-double against the Hornets. He has a realistic chance to do that again against a depleted Los Angeles squad.

Talen Horton-Tucker (1.9x)

The Lakers will have to feature some odd player tonight, and that could make Horton-Tucker a strong DFS option. He posted 16 points and 3 rebounds last night, and that was despite only seeing 18 minutes.

Michael Carter-Williams (1.8x)

Carter-Williams has a pretty high multiplier for a starter. He has averaged 28.4 minutes per game since taking over the job on Feb. 12, and he has turned that into 10.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game. Look for him to have an above-average night against a gassed Hawks squad.

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Five SuperDraft NBA Fade Picks

Here are some players that players do our projections say you should avoid when building your NBA SuperDraft lineup.

Khem Birch (1.75x)

Birch ranks as the worst active player with a multiplier of 1.75x or below. His multiplier just doesn’t compensate enough for his limited role, especially when a teammate like Carter-Williams has a higher one.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (1.85x)

Here is another guy with a multiplier set far too high for his limited role. Alexander-Walker has played 10-plus minutes just once since Feb. 10, and he frequently fails to see the court for the Pelicans.

John Collins (1.45x) and Clint Capela (1.2x)

Our projections are quite low on the Hawks tonight. Collins ranks as the worst active player with a multiplier set at 1.5x or below, and I don’t expect him to do much in the tail end of this back-to-back. Likewise, Capela ranks as the worst active player with a multiplier set at 1.25x or below.

Gordon Hayward (1.35x)

Hayward hasn’t played in days, but his multiplier assumes that he’ll see a full slate of minutes. If he does play, there’s no guarantee that he’ll play a full workload, and I’m fading him at a multiplier this low,

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.