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Awesemo’s NEW Optimal Lineup Tool: Week 13 DraftKings & FanDuel Picks




NFL DFS DraftKings FanDuel lineup optimizer picks optimal projections today tonight Week 16 fantasy football picks Diontae Johnson free expert cheat sheets Sunday main slate free expert player props parlays picks odds lines predictions

Using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool, each player carries an optimal lineup percentage score, which is the probability that player will be in perfect lineup for that slate based on Awesemo’s projections. Below are three of the players with the highest Week 13 DraftKings and FanDuel optimal lineup percentage scores of the week using the Boom/Bust Tool. Check out all of the Awesemo expert tools and cheat sheets when making your NFL DFS picks this week.

Week 13 NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks & Projections

*Percentages indicate Optimal Lineup Scores

Jamaal Williams — DraftKings: 33.5%, FanDuel: 28.6%

Williams is an elite value with D’Andre Swift (shoulder) sidelined. With Swift only available for 10 snaps last week, Williams ended up logging a season-high 63% of the snaps against the Bears. Furthermore, Williams handled 15 of the 16 running back carries for the Lions after Swift exited and ran a route on 54% of Jared Goff’s dropbacks. Swift leaves behind a huge void. He is averaging 12.7 carries per game and has the second-highest target share among all running backs (19.4%). Evident from last week’s usage, Williams is going to take on a large workload in Swift’s absence, which should result in strong numbers for the efficient back. This season Williams ranks 15th in DraftKings points per snap among all running backs (0.4), and for his career he averages 14.4 DraftKings points per game in which he has logged over 50% of the snaps.

In addition to the increased opportunity, Williams is going against a Vikings’ defense that has yielded the highest yards per rush in the league (4.8). Plus, he will be at home and this matchup’s total is the fifth highest on the slate (46.5 points). Williams brings much higher upside than his modest salaries suggest, and he is rating as the No.1 running back value for both DraftKings and FanDuel this week according to Awesemo’s Projections.

James Conner — DraftKings: 25.5%, FanDuel: 25.9%

Conner has seen an unwarranted $200 price cut on DraftKings, making him a core play this week. Ever since Chase Edmonds (ankle) went down in Week 9 after logging one snap, Conner is handling 70.3% of the running back carries, including a whopping 10 red-zone carries over the last three games. He has also gotten usage as a receiver, with a 15.2% target share and running a route on 61% of dropbacks. With this elite workload, Conner has produced 25.5 DraftKings points per game in these past three with Edmonds injured. Edmonds will not be ready to return until next week, leaving Conner in the featured role this Sunday against the Bears.

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In this matchup Arizona has an implied team total of 25.5 points, and they are 7.5-point favorites. Conner is always a threat for multiple touchdowns, and he only trails Williams in point-per-dollar value among running backs for DraftKings this week.

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Diontae Johnson — DraftKings: 10.4%, FanDuel: 11%

As has been the case all season, Johnson is underpriced for his immense role. His target share ranks fifth in the league this season (29.5%), and he has 11 red-zone targets and 13 targets north of 20 yards. Johnson has racked up at least 13 targets in five of his last six starts, and this week he gets the Ravens, who are allowing the third-most yards per pass attempt (7.5). Additionally, Baltimore is a 4.5-point favorite, which should force the Steelers into a more pass-heavy game plan. When Pittsburgh has been an underdog this season, Johnson has responded with 19.1 DraftKings points per game. He is rating as a top-10 receiver in terms of optimal lineup percentage score for both DraftKings and FanDuel in Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool.

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Take a look at our inactives, NFL lineups and NFL depth charts. We also have DraftKings showdown projections and single-game ownership projections. If you’re interested in other NFL DFS data for multiple game slates, head over to NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL rankings, and NFL stacks. View our DraftKings NFL DFS ownership rankings and our FanDuel DFS NFL ownership rankings.
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