Using Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool, each player carries an optimal lineup percentage score, which is the probability that player will be in perfect lineup for that slate, based on Awesemo’s projections. Below are three of the players with the highest Week 2 DraftKings and FanDuel optimal lineup percentage scores of the week using Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool. Check out all of the Awesemo expert tools and cheat sheets when making your NFL DFS picks this week.
NFL DFS Picks: Week 2 DraftKings & FanDuel Optimal Lineup
Najee Harris – Optimal Lineup Percentage Scores: DraftKings: 21.8%, FanDuel: 23.6%
On both DraftKings and FanDuel, Harris is criminally underpriced for his role. In his NFL debut last week, the rookie was the only running back in the NFL to play every snap for his team. Harris was the only Steelers’ back to record a touch in the win over the Bills, including two red-zone carries, and he also ran a route on 30 of Ben Roethlisberger’s 35 drop backs. Furthermore, after leading the NFL pass attempts per game last season, the Steelers were a run heavy offense in Week 1. Despite trailing 10-0 at halftime, Pittsburgh finished with the 10th-fewest pass attempts of the week, suggesting that maybe this season they are going to rely more on their run game opposed to Roethlisberger at age 39.
This week, Harris will face the Raiders, who yielded 5.6 yards per rush in Week 1. In this spot, the Steelers sport the sixth-highest implied team total on the slate at 26.5 points, and they are six-point home favorites. Harris should see a minimum of 20 touches and is a strong bet to find the end zone. Given his modest price tags, Harris owns the highest optimal lineup percentage score of the week for both DraftKings and FanDuel, via Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool.
Nick Chubb – Optimal Lineup Percentage Scores: 11.8%, FanDuel: 19.3%
Chubb is an excellent pay-up option at running back this week against the Texans. The Browns carry the second-highest implied team total on the slate at 30.5 points, and are 13-point home favorites. This is the largest implied team total Chubb has ever played behind, and last season, the 25-year-old ranked third in the NFL in yards per attempt (5.6). Additionally, Chubb saw 60% of the Browns’ rushes in Week 1, including a whopping six red-zone carries.
With his team heavily favored, Chubb should exceed 20 touches against this very vulnerable Texans’ run defense. Last season, Houston yielded the highest yards per rush in the NFL (5.2) and allowed a league-high 21 rushing touchdowns to running backs. In his lone matchup with the Texans last season, Chubb erupted for 126 yards rushing and a touchdown on 19 carries. Including this performance, Chubb produced 22.4 DraftKings PPG when the Browns were home favorites a year ago.
Deandre Hopkins – Optimal Lineup Percentage Scores: 8.8%, FanDuel: 13.9%
Despite exposing the Titans for six catches, 83 yards and two touchdowns last week, Hopkins isn’t expected to crack double-digit ownership on DraftKings, according to Awesemo’s ownership projections. Last season, the wide receiver finished 10th in air yards (1,423), third in receptions (115), fifth in yards after the catch (528) and second in target share (29.4%). The heavy volume continued in Week 1, with Hopkins garnering a 25% target share, including two red-zone targets, while running a route on 34 of Kyler Murray’s 36 drop backs.
For Week 2, Hopkins is facing a Vikings’ defense that surrendered the third-highest yard per pass attempt (7.7) last season. Furthermore, they gave up sixth most yards (2,864) and second-most touchdowns to wide receivers (24). At 27.25 points, the Cardinals boast the seventh-highest implied team total on the board, and this tilt’s 51-point game total is also the fourth-highest on the slate. Hopkins has surpassed 25 DraftKings points in three of his past five games, and is a must-have in this tremendous spot.
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