The NFL season continues to Week 7 with a full slate of NFL DFS action provided by DraftKings and FanDuel. This piece will examine the NFL DFS slate early in the week to find potential NFL DFS picks that will return the most value. Based on the salaries released by both DraftKings and FanDuel, we will go over some of the best Week 7 NFL DFS picks, but keep an eye on the news as the week progresses. A value play early in the week could turn into a bust chalk play due to injury or COVID-related illness. The best way to stay plugged in for all the news and notes throughout the week is by catching all the Awesemo NFL DFS Strategy and Picks shows on the Awesemo YouTube Channel.
NFL First Look: Week 7 NFL DFS Picks
Matthew Stafford, DET vs. LAR ($7,100 DraftKings, $8,100 FanDuel)
Stafford has been a revelation for the Rams, ranking top 10 in yards per attempt (9.2) and completion percentage (69.5%). He has been over 250 yards passing in every game this year, and he has eclipsed 300 in three of six. This week the Rams have the highest team total on the slate as 15.5-point favorites over the Lions in a game with a 50-point total. Detroit ranks last in the NFL in yards passing allowed per attempt, setting up Stafford for another strong performance.
Jalen Hurts, PHI vs. LV ($6,900 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel)
Hurts has room for improvement as a quarterback. He only completes 62.5% of his passes for 7.1 yards per attempt. However, Hurts has been bust-proof this year based on volume and elite rushing ability, with at least 40 yards rushing in four of six games this year. He also has five touchdowns rushing, giving him a high floor in any game script. Additionally, Philadelphia has turned into a high-volume pass attack when trailing. Hurts averages 34.7 pass attempts per game. This week the Eagles are 3-point underdogs to the Raiders in a game with a 48.5-point total. Hurts is a strong play across formats and viable in cash.
Ryan Tannehill, KC vs. TEN ($6,400 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel)
Tennessee is underpriced for a high-scoring affair against Kansas City in Week 7. This game has a 56.5-point total, with the Titans 4-point home underdogs. Tannehill has regressed this year, with only two games at or above 212 yards passing. However, Tannehill has played most of the year without his top two pass catchers in A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. Barring an injury tonight, both should be healthy for Tennessee’s Week 7 game against Kansas City.
Joe Mixon, CIN vs. BAL ($6,500, DraftKings, $7,200 FanDuel)
After playing limited snaps in Week 5 due to an ankle injury, Mixon returned to handle 18 carries and six targets in Week 6. Mixon impressed with opportunity, notching 153 total yards and a touchdown reception. Samaje Perine missed this game on the COVID-19 reserve list, but Mixon looks to have regained his footing as Cincinnati’s lead back. Cincinnati is a 6.5-point underdog to Baltimore in a game with a 47-point total. However, Mixon’s involvement in all game scripts bodes well for his usage moving forward.
Chuba Hubbard, CAR vs. NYG ($6,100 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)
With Christian McCaffrey unexpectedly hitting injured reserve, Hubbard should see a full workload for the next few weeks in Carolina. In an overtime game against Minnesota, Hubbard still played on 65% of snaps, seeing 16 carries and three targets in the pass game. Royce Freeman was the only other back to touch the ball, and he finished with one carry. This week Carolina faces the Giants as a 3-point favorite in a game with a 44-point total. The Giants have allowed the fourth-most yards rushing this year (137.2). At this price, Hubbard is a solid running back option in Week 7 DFS.
Darrel Williams, KC vs. TEN ($5,800 DraftKings, $6,700 FanDuel)
With Clyde Edwards-Helaire out in Week 6, Williams stepped up to play on 72% of Kansas City’s snaps. He also had 21 carries and four targets. Improving matters further, three of his carries came in the red zone. Jerick McKinnon played on 28% of snaps, but he was primarily a change of pace. With Kansas City favored by 4 points against the Titans in a game with a 56.5-point total, Williams is one of the strongest plays on the DFS slate.
D.J. Moore, CAR vs. NYG ($7,100 DraftKings, $7,700 FanDuel)
While Moore is not priced like an alpha receiver on DFS platforms, he has certainly behaved like one. Moore is now averaging 10.5 targets per game, equating to a 29.4% target share and 39.7% air yards share in Carolina’s offense. Robby Anderson is the second-most targeted receiver on this team, and his target share is 18.7%. Moore has eclipsed 100 yards in three games this year and reached at least 70 in five. The Giants rank bottom 10 in yards allowed per pass attempt, creating a solid matchup for Moore as well.
A.J. Brown, KC vs. TEN ($6,300 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)
Due to injury, Brown has only played in three full games. Despite his abbreviated season, Brown still boasts a 20.7% target share and 34.9% air yards share. This is the premier shootout on the Week 7 slate. The Titans have a 26.25-point implied team total despite coming in as 4-point underdogs, and Kansas City ranks bottom three in yards allowed per pass attempt. At a floor price, Brown looks viable across platforms and contests.
Tee Higgins, CIN vs. BAL ($4,900 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel)
After being a popular play in Week 6, Higgins’ price has dropped yet again after his poor performance. Cincinnati has now shown on multiple occasions that they prefer a run-heavy approach. However, as 6.5-point underdogs to Baltimore, game script projects to work against them. Ja’Marr Chase has emerged as Joe Burrow‘s top weapon in Cincinnati, but Higgins still is heavily involved. He tied Chase with a team-leading six targets in Week 6, and he has a 23.1% target share. With more volume projected for the pass game, Higgins is a solid contrarian pivot to the more expensive Chase.
Travis Kelce, KC vs. TEN ($7,400 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)
For those looking to pay up at tight end, Kelce looks like the preferred option. This is particularly true on DraftKings, where Kelce and Darren Waller are closer in price. Waller has seen between five and eight targets in every game except for Week 1. He also has failed to eclipse 65 yards receiving in five straight games on a struggling offense. Meanwhile, Kelce still boasts a 23.1% target share and 23.4% air yards share on one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses. The Chiefs are also in the premier shootout of the week against the Titans in a game with a 56.5-point total.
Zach Ertz, HOU vs. ARI ($3,900 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)
Traded to Arizona from Philadelphia, Ertz fills a massive void for the Cardinals. Ertz’s role with the Cardinals is to be seen, but replacement-level tight end Maxx Williams already had 17 targets on the year, including two games above 66 yards. Ertz himself moves from the team that ranks 23rd in yards per pass attempt to the second-ranked offense. Ertz will need time to acclimate to the offense, but even in a part-time role, Ertz can pay off his cheap salary across platforms. The Cardinals should be scoring frequently as 17-point favorites over the lowly Texans.
Ricky Seals-Jones, WAS vs. GB, ($3,700 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)
With Logan Thomas landing on injured reserve, Seals-Jones has filled in full time for Washington. He played on 99.3% of snaps, recording 14 targets in a two-game span, and three of those targets came in the red zone. Seals-Jones does not play in a prolific offense, as Washington is a 10-point underdog to Green Bay. However, the game has a 48.5-point total, and Seals-Jones plays one of the most consistent tight end roles in all of football. Even with the offense struggling, Seals-Jones can be trusted in DFS across formats and platforms.
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