NFL

NFL Player Props Tool

Published

12 hours ago

October 25, 2021

NFL betting player props are perhaps the most beatable odds that sportsbooks offer today. Most of these sportsbooks outsource their odds and there are so many that they can’t get them all right. The way that sportsbooks tend to handle these bets is by limiting sharp bettors to small bets only while allowing lesser skilled players to put huge bets down on losing bets. That means you should take advantage of these bets while you can.

The expected probabilities are based on Awesemo’s projections and simulations. These are not necessarily designed to optimally calculate the percentages of each bet – but they should give a great baseline for what bets should be profitable and which should be avoided.

NFL Betting Player Props Tool

Last Update: 12 hours ago

Passing Yds

Name	Team	Prop Name	Prop Type	Prop Line	Prop Odds	Projection	Expected Win	Expected ROI	Note
Kyler Murray	ARI	Passing Yards	Under	258.50	-115.00	266.50	47 %	-12.0
Kyler Murray	ARI	Passing Yards	Over	258.50	-115.00	266.50	53 %	-1.0

Recv Yds

Name	Team	Prop Name	Prop Type	Prop Line	Prop Odds	Projection	Expected Win	Expected ROI
Rondale Moore	ARI	Receiving Yards	Over	26.50	-115.00	40.85	67 %	26.0
Rondale Moore	ARI	Receiving Yards	Under	26.50	-115.00	40.85	33 %	-39.0
Chase Edmonds	ARI	Receiving Yards	Under	22.50	-115.00	27.12	50 %	-6.0
Chase Edmonds	ARI	Receiving Yards	Over	22.50	-115.00	27.12	50 %	-7.0
Christian Kirk	ARI	Receiving Yards	Over	43.50	-115.00	47.28	51 %	-4.0
Christian Kirk	ARI	Receiving Yards	Under	43.50	-115.00	47.28	49 %	-9.0
DeAndre Hopkins	ARI	Receiving Yards	Under	66.50	-115.00	62.03	61 %	14.0
DeAndre Hopkins	ARI	Receiving Yards	Over	66.50	-115.00	62.03	39 %	-27.0

Receptions

Rush Yds

Name	Team	Prop Name	Prop Type	Prop Line	Prop Odds	Projection	Expected Win	Expected ROI
Chase Edmonds	ARI	Rushing Yards	Over	36.50	-115.00	41.25	52 %	-3.0
Chase Edmonds	ARI	Rushing Yards	Under	36.50	-115.00	41.25	48 %	-10.0
James Conner	ARI	Rushing Yards	Under	47.50	-120.00	56.72	37 %	-32.0
James Conner	ARI	Rushing Yards	Over	47.50	-110.00	56.72	63 %	20.0
Kyler Murray	ARI	Rushing Yards	Under	26.50	-120.00	25.61	61 %	11.0
Kyler Murray	ARI	Rushing Yards	Over	26.50	-110.00	25.61	39 %	-25.0

Completions

Passing TDs

Name	Team	Prop Name	Prop Type	Prop Line	Prop Odds	Projection	Expected Win	Expected ROI	Note
Kyler Murray	ARI	Passing Touchdowns	Under	1.50	180.00	1.95	41 %	13.0
Kyler Murray	ARI	Passing Touchdowns	Over	1.50	-222.00	1.95	60 %	-14.0

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Take a look at our NFL depth chart list, NFL starting lineups and NFL inactives. If you’re interested in other NFL DFS advice for multiple game slates, head over to NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL DFS rankings, and NFL DFS stacking.

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Alex Baker

A self-proclaimed U.S. history buff, stats enthusiast, and rabid fan of anything Detroit (yes, even the Lions), Alex started playing daily fantasy sports in 2013 and never looked back. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill-set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. He has since dominated DFS, becoming a fixture on leaderboards and cementing his position as the top-ranked overall player according to RotoGrinders. Competing in most guaranteed prize pool tournaments, he has ranked in the top 3 across major sports, including NBA, NFL, NHL, PGA, and MLB. He enjoys sharing his knowledge of fantasy sports with new and experienced players alike. Career Highlights: No. 1 Overall Ranking; 14x FanDuel $100k winner, 11x DraftKings Hundred-Thousandaire; 20x Live Final qualifier. You can contact him on Twitter @awesemodfs or by emailing [email protected].