Week 6 of the NFL is, and Awesemo has a ton of great tools and NFL DFS strategy to help tackle all the largest contests in DFS. This Yahoo Daily Fantasy article will walk through some of the standouts in the early Awesemo rostership projections. We will look at who is projected to be highly rostered, who makes for good chalk plays, which highly rostered players may be worth fading and who the low-rostered pivots are in large-field tournaments. With that said, let’s get into the Yahoo daily fantasy NFL picks for Week 6.
Week 6 Yahoo Daily Fantasy NFL Picks & Rostership
Awesemo has some of the best rostership projections on the planet for NFL DFS. If playing in large-field GPPs every week, then using rostership projections can bring a massive edge by knowing where the good pivot and leverage spots will be.
Good Chalk: Lamar Jackson $33 (Yahoo Projected 27.4% Rostered)
The Ravens are coming off a thrilling overtime win on prime time last week, so the natural inclination is for most people to chase the points on the star quarterback. Lamar Jackson is too cheap this week on Yahoo at just $33, and he has taken a clear step up as a passer in 2021. Jackson has thrown for 9.1 yards per attempt and completed 67% of his passes, which are career highs. The matchup against the Chargers is not terrible either, as they are in the top half of the league in pace and have one of the worst run defenses by yards per carry allowed. Jackson’s efficiency on the ground should pick up, and he grades as the top play (by a decent margin) on Awesemo this week.
Chalk to Fade: Baker Mayfield $20 (Yahoo Projected 8.9% Rostered)
While Jackson makes for an elite quarterback play even at bigger rostership, Baker Mayfield is a fade when popular. The Browns rank just 22nd in pass attempts per game, and Mayfield has just four touchdown passes through five games. The Browns love to run the ball in the red zone, and the Cardinals set up as one of the best teams to run the ball against while simultaneously being one of the toughest to pass against as well (sixth fewest yards per attempt). Mayfield is pushing for over 10% rostership this week, and there are lots of other low-rostered quarterbacks with far better projections in Week 6.
Low-Rostered Pivot: Joe Burrow $28 (Yahoo Projected 1.3% Rostered)
Joe Burrow comes in with a sub-2% rostership projection, but he is playing the team with one of the worst pass defenses in the league. Quarterbacks are throwing for 9.3 yards per attempt against the Lions, whose secondary continues to be a big-play factory for fantasy purposes. Burrow threw 38 times against Green Bay and may keep throwing more now that he is longer into his knee rehab. He and his affordable wide receivers make for great low-rostered plays in tournaments this week.
Good Chalk: Jonathan Taylor (Yahoo Projected 22.2% Rostered)
Jonathan Taylor’s explosion game last week will certainly draw him some attention this week, but the setup says to not be scared off by a little extra rostership. The Colts enter this game against Houston as 10-point favorites and with a 26.25 implied team total. Teams have run the ball 30.6 times per game against the Texans this year, and Taylor saw his biggest touch count of the year (17 carries, six receptions) against Baltimore last week. His floor is not as good as other top backs, but if chasing ceiling games for GPPs, a little chalk should not scare gamers off of Taylor for Week 6.
Chalk to Fade: D’Andre Swift $20 (Yahoo Projected 33.4% Rostered)
A Lions offensive player projecting for over 30% rostership should offer at least a little cause for concern. While D’Andre Swift has great usage in the pass game (averaging 5.8 receptions per game), he has still only exceeded 10 carries on the year once. The matchup against the Bengals is not great either, as Cincinnati has allowed just 4.1 yards per carry. Swift is cheap, but eventually the targets and touchdowns in the pass game will shift back to the tight end and wide receivers for Detroit. Swift is by no means a bad play, but he is a fade given the huge rostership projections.
Low-Rostered Pivot: Nick Chubb $30 (Yahoo Projected 7.4% Rostered)
While the DFS community seems intent on jumping on the Swift bandwagon after one big game, no one seems overly enthusiastic about Nick Chubb in Week 6, who is coming off an eruption game against the Chargers. Chubb broke through for his 10th career touchdown rushing of 20-plus yards. Chubb has taken 21 carries or more in three straight games and comes in averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Just like last week, he gets another team in the Cardinals that is terrible at stopping the run (5.3 yards per carry allowed this year), so the Browns should control this game on the ground again with Chubb. People do not expect lightening to strike twice, but the setup is eerily similar to last week.
Good Chalk: Terry McLaurin $27 (Yahoo Projected 13.9% Rostered)
Terry McLaurin got shutdown last week, but it was against one of the best pass defenses in the league. All things considered, expect the odd dud from McLaurin this year given his quarterback situation. The good news, though, and the reason to be hopeful is that his usage shows no signs of regressing. The Washington defense is bad, and McLaurin has 49 targets, which is 29 more than anyone else on Washington. Kansas City is one of the worst teams against the pass this year, allowing 8.9 yards per attempt. Even with a little hype building in his rostership projections, McLaurin should not be on the fade list after one rough outing.
Chalk to Fade: Marquise Brown $17 (Yahoo Projected 19.9% Rostered)
It is inevitable that all of the Ravens skill players on this slate will be chalky after they almost all went off in a thrilling comeback win in prime time last week. It makes sense to play for a more run-heavy approach from the Ravens, though they are taking on a run-funnel defense and Marquise Brown does not project as even a top-20 receiver for Week 6. Brown is not even the No. 1 receiver on his team by usage (Mark Andrews), and in a game where the Ravens could be rushing more than last week, he sets up as a top fade play at rostership that could push over 20%.
Low-Rostered Pivot: Ja’Marr Chase $24 (Yahoo Projected 3.3% Rostered)
Despite averaging nearly 20 yards per reception and around nine targets per game, Ja’Marr Chase simply refuses to catch much heat in DFS. His rostership for a matchup with one of the worst secondaries in the league barely has him going for over 3% rostership on Yahoo this week, and that seems like a massive mistake by the field. Awesemo likes him this week too, as they give him the seventh-highest points projection at his position. Chase makes sense as a mid-range pivot this week.
Good Chalk: Travis Kelce $30 (Yahoo Projected 22.8% Rostered)
Travis Kelce should never really be considered bad chalk, but that is even more true this week. The Chiefs are in a bit of a must-win scenario and are dealing with injuries to Clyde Edwards-Helaire (out) and Tyreek Hill (knee). Hill seems likely to play but also is likely less than 100%. Kelce has yet to go for over seven catches in a game, but with a lack of a dominant running back, his target volume and target share should rise in this matchup. Washington is in the bottom part of the league in yards per attempt allowed and has a shockingly low sack rate this year. It all should lead to a big day for Kelce, who is still projecting for well under 25% rostership despite the great spot.
Chalk to Fade: Mark Andrews $21 (Yahoo Projected 36.6% Rostered)
Tight end is such a variable position that when a player other than Kelce is projected to be over 35% rostered, the play is to fade them on principle. Mark Andrews has been on a great run of late, but it applies to him too. Andrews is averaging over eight targets a game in his last four starts, but it is also worth noting that the way to attack the Chargers has been on the ground, where they allow the most yards per carry in the league. A more efficient week on the ground for Jackson could mean a couple fewer targets for Andrews.
Low-Rostered Pivot: Noah Fant $ (Yahoo Projected 1.6% Rostered)
Noah Fant grades very strongly this week in the Awesemo projections, even above Andrews, who has been a tear of late. The opportunity is there for Fant, who is second on his team in targets and is playing nearly every snap for the under-manned Broncos. The projections seem to be suggesting a big game could be coming, and the matchup against struggling Vegas, who has allowed three touchdowns to tight ends in their last two games, is a great one. Fant’s miniscule rostership projection makes him the perfect pivot spot off the high sentiment on Andrews in Week 6.
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