This “Ides Of October” slate features plays, traps, and more. First off, let’s remind everyone of the Votts media list and a few links to follow one more time.
When you are making your teams, one needs to make sure your goalie is actually confirmed and starting. Sites like Dailyfaceoff.com, Leftwinglock.com, and Goaliepost.com are great places for information. Another great source exists in team the form of team beat writers. Jeff has created a list on Twitter @Votts_DFS for all of the NHL teams, and a separate list of all the beat writers for you to follow, it’s a great tool and a necessity. The advanced stats that I use and reference in this article come from Corsica.hockey and naturalstattrick.com.
If you have any questions at all, don’t hesitate to contact me on our premium Slack chat, or you can hit me up on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS.
Full Schedule For Monday October 22nd, 2018
|St. Louis||Winnipeg||8:00 pm|
Prices are in DraftKings format unless noted.
Skater Plays For Monday
High Priced Shots
Nathan MacKinnon ($8,100) — The recommended play here is reasonable given his price per point is so high and matchup. The only risk exists if Philadelphia bottles up play like they did on Saturday. Honestly. that is not too likely against a Colorado team with a top line that combines size with speed. Philadelphia’s penalty kill is still among the bottom quarter as far as teams in the league. Furthermore, the Flyers seem to allow three or more goals far too easily of late. This is far from the only fun matchup, but it does have some game stacking potential.
Claude Giroux ($6,100) — Giroux is priced lower than Michael Ferland on Monday night. Let this sink in. The danger with the Flyers forward is sometimes shot volume. Points usually do not present a problem. He has 11 points in just eight contests. Colorado’s depth on forward and defense is a little questionable. This projects out to an elevated amount of chances expected. Jakub Voracek is more a GPP option and so may Wayne Simmonds as well. Philadelphia’s first unit power play is something to keep an eye on.
Vladimir Tarasenko ($6,700) — Tarasenko’s problem stems from lack of goal production. Yes, he has assists in his last three games, but only has six shots on goal in that span. Call it a doubly whammy. Winnipeg is not duplicating the success they had last year and high danger chances allowed have come up noticeably. St. Louis has slumped as well which causes Tarasenko to be a moderate risk. However, ownership should be low since some may hone in on that late Washington-Vancouver game.
Into The Middle
Blake Wheeler ($5,900) — Wheeler presents himself as a good choice especially at his DraftKings price. On other sites like FanDuel, he becomes less of a good value pivot. His speed kills along with his hands. Teams just have a hard time matching up with the space he creates. St. Louis has been giving up an unusual amount of high danger chances to top lines and yielding 3.43 goals per game. Winnipeg is 4-0-1 at home with Wheeler garnering most of his points at the MTS Centre.
Bo Horvat ($4,900) — It is acceptable to take some risks in this price range. Horvat is hot goal scoring wise (five tallies in eight games). Also, his value (at least on DraftKings) has not ballooned. Horvat leads to decent floor possibilities just because he will be up against the Washington top line. On the other hand, the forward has a decent chance of generating a point via goal or assist. Even shot volume has not been suspect like it had been in the past. Finally, look into the Carolina-Detroit game as some players have graduated into this middle tier. Dennis Cholowski did rise in value a lot and is over $5,000 now. He could still be playable. Alex Edler is good for consistent floor production even at $5,600.
Travis Konecny ($4,400) — Konecny offers a high-risk GPP choice here unlike some of the safer cash choices around his price range. It could be all or nothing. The Philadelphia forward has points in his last three games, with ten shots on goal, and eight high-danger chances generated. His minutes are around 14 a night, though. He makes for price relief on a short slate where prices are elevated too much in several cases.
Throwing Some Darts
Andrei Svechnikov ($3,700) — Svechnikov fired six shots on net in nine attempts last game out. He only plays around 13-14 minutes a night but typically his play is sheltered to maximize his offensive capabilities. Detroit yields 4.38 goals per game and eight goals in two games at home. Carolina does struggle to score goals despite a high shot load. However, Svechnikov’s floor may even be enough to hit or exceed value.
Adam Lowry ($3,800) — Extreme danger is afire here with Lowry but his play is hard to ignore. The idea in this rationale means being okay with taking a shot at a streaky player. Lowry has points in three straight games with unusually high shot volume and chances generated. With higher priced Winnipeg players struggling a bit, this may be safer even given his price is not outrageous yet. Brandon Sutter and Nolan Patrick fit into this price range as well and could draw some favorable matchups.
Goading The Goalies
Again, our best bet with this slate is to simply wait for confirmations to come in. Detroit goaltending is just $6,800 on DraftKings which is basically the price of a value goalie. They could face 30+ shots from Carolina as they still generate a high expected shots for per 60. Wait to see who starts will be a theme sadly on this four game slate. Some will take risks on the goaltending of Los Angles even with their below $7,000 price tag.
Unfortunately, no goalies were confirmed at press time, so current projected rankings are as follows (based on projected starters).
- Connor Hellebuyck
- Jakob Markstrom (GULP!)
- Insert Detroit goaltender here.
Best of luck on Monday! This will be a crazy ride. More information comes later on slack and social media.