Bam Adebayo NBA Player Props | Expert Betting Picks & Predictions

The first of two NBA games to be shown on ESPN is an interesting Eastern Conference battle between the New York Knicks and Miami Heat. In many ways, these are two teams that are trending in opposite directions. While the Heat are getting healthy and have risen to first place in the East, the Knicks continue to sputter and are two games below .500 coming in. Both sides could certainly use a win to aid their respective goals. The revamped OddsShopper is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Knicks – Heat matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for one of those Heat players who has recently rejoined the lineup, center Bam Adebayo.

With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Bam Adebayo in tonight’s matchup.

In New York? Don’t forget to check out Alex Baker’s article on how to MAXIMIZE your sportsbook bonus.

Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Bam Adebayo

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Adebayo props below.

Under 4.5 Assists (-140, PointsBet)

With Miami’s leading distributor in point guard Kyle Lowry remaining sidelined for personal reasons, other players have had to offer more in the passing game. Bam Adebayo has been no exception to this trend, dishing at least four assists in three of the four games since returning from thumb surgery. His five helpers in each of the last two games were nearly two full assists more than the 3.3 he has averaged this season. While Adebayo did average over five assists in each of the last two years, he would essentially need to hit his ceiling as a passer to go over tonight’s NBA player props total of 4.5. Against a Knicks team that ranks top-10 in defensive efficiency, that does not figure to be easily accomplished.

Considering the discrepancy between the NBA betting line and Adebayo’s assists average, it is no surprise to see OddsShopper listing heavy juice to the under across the market. Even though the lowest price available is only -140, Awesemo’s projections still see a great deal of value in this prop bet. A projection of 3.34 assists essentially falls right in line with Adebayo’s typical production. Despite the price tag, this prediction is given a 33% expected ROI to go along with a massive 78% win probability.

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Over 8.5 Rebounds (-130, FanDuel)

While Awesemo may be bearish on the chances of Adebayo topping his assists total, the opposite is true when it comes to his rebounding prop. Of course, this facet of the game is much more in his wheelhouse. Adebayo has twice cleared the NBA player props line of 8.5 boards in the four games since returning to the lineup and had eight rebounds in one additional game. Minutes have been no concern since Adebayo made his return, and his presence will be needed on the glass tonight against a solid rebounding opponent.

Once again, OddsShopper lists hefty juice on the preferred side, this time being the over. It makes sense given that there is another wide statistical discrepancy between Adebayo’s 9.9 rebounds per game average and the NBA betting total. In fact, one sportsbook has already moved the line up to 9.5 rebounds. At the best price of -130 on the lower total, Awesemo’s projections give this NBA prop bet a 14% ROI.

Under 16.5 Points (-112, SugarHouse)

The smallest edge that Awesemo has on Adebayo NBA prop bets tonight is for his scoring total. Based on what OddsShopper is showing, there is widespread disagreement taking place in the market on what exactly Adebayo’s scoring prop should be listed at. He has averaged 18.5 per game this season. Since returning from his injury, Adebayo has posted 14 points in two games and hit the 20-point threshold in the other two.

The NBA player props market has his scoring total set lower than his per-game average across the board for tonight’s game. However, some sportsbooks have set the number at 15.5 while others are a full point higher at 16.5. Awesemo believes there is a small edge in playing under the higher line of the two. A projection of 15.43 points produces a 7% expected ROI when this wager is made at the optimal -112 price.

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