Basketball fans have some late-night hoops action on national TV tonight as the Sacramento Kings clash with the Los Angeles Lakers. Each and every game is important for both teams if they hope to improve their standing in the Western Conference between now and the playoffs. The Lakers will be vying for their third consecutive win which would put them over the .500 mark for the first time in a while. The revamped Awesemo OddsShopper Tool is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Kings – Lakers matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for ‘The King’ himself, LeBron James.
With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for James in tonight’s matchup.
Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | LeBron James
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured James props below.
Under 7.5 Assists (-112, SugarHouse)
Playing the under on 7.5 total assists for James tonight is actually one of Awesemo’s favorite NBA player props of the day. While James certainly is capable of piling up a high assist total on any given night, the betting line is almost one full assist more than the 6.6 he has averaged per game on the season. James had only five assists in the Lakers’ most recent game and has only exceeded the NBA betting total once in the last ten games. Despite this, OddsShopper shows that very few sportsbooks are juiced heavily towards the under on this prop for tonight. As a result, Awesemo gives this prediction a massive expected ROI of 34% at the optimal -112 price.
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Under 9.5 Rebounds (-104, FanDuel)
Much like the assists prop above, tonight’s NBA player props line of 9.5 rebounds sits well above James’ season average to date. In fact, the discrepancy is even greater, albeit in a statistical category with a greater degree of fluctuation. The 7.5 rebounds James has averaged this season are exactly two full boards less than tonight’s NBA betting total of 9.5. This time, however, OddsShopper shows that the market is slightly juiced to the over. While James only had seven boards in L.A.’s last contest, he had a streak of three straight games with double-digit rebounds before that. Even so, the statistical discrepancy has Awesemo’s projections keen on playing this prop bet under.
Bettors can feel confident in a 32% expected ROI when they play the optimal price of -104. OddsShopper shows that this is up to 16 cents better value than the odds available at other sportsbooks.
Under 30.5 Points (-115, PointsBet)
OddsShopper‘s worst statistical edge for James props tonight is for his total points scored. In fact, an exact projection of 30.53 leads to a perfectly even 50-50 split as far as the win probability of a wager on James to score over/under 30.5 total points. With OddsShopper showing slight juice to the over across the market, the accompanying prices dictate the decision to play this prop under. The Kings admittedly figure to be a positive matchup for James and the Lakers offensively. However, this line is also a full two points higher than his season scoring average of 28.5 points per game. Given that he has topped 30 points in seven of the last eight games, perhaps James will slow down and/or take it easy tonight.
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