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Same Game Parlay of the Night: Best NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight | 1/16/22

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Best NBA bets today Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions NBA Western Conference Finals Game 1 player prop bets odds lines

Same-game parlays are one of the most exciting new forms of betting on sports. Not only are the payouts potentially massive, but they can also be +EV. Since all of the wagers take place in the same contest, it allows you to craft a narrative that can pay off royally if it hits. Same-game parlays become even better with the help of OddsShopper. It allows you to view all of the different wagers available for each game compared to the Awesemo NBA Projections. The wider the gap between the line and the projection, the more +EV the wager. This allows you to find the best NBA betting picks easily. Let us dive into some of the best NBA picks and parlays tonight.

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Same Game NBA Picks and Parlays: Warriors at Timberwolves

The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.

Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.

Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.

Klay Thompson Under 16.5 Points, 2.5 Assists, and 3.5 Rebounds

The big news heading into this contest is the absence of Steph Curry. He’s been ruled out after suffering a hand injury in his previous contest, which is going to open up plenty of shot attempts and minutes for the rest of the roster. Draymond Green also remains out with an injury, so the Warriors are sufficiently shorthanded.

Thompson figures to see a boost in value sans Curry, but he still figures to be heavily restricted from a minute’s standpoint. He missed more than two full seasons with severe injuries, and he’s played in just three games so far this season. He’s yet to log more than 20.6 minutes in any games, and while he did get the night off on Friday, I wouldn’t expect much of an increase vs. the Timberwolves.

Thompson is also still looking to shake off some of the rust he accumulated during his time on the sidelines. He’s shot just 35.7% since returning to the lineup, and he’s been at 38.9% or worse in all three games. Overall, this number seems too heavily inflated based on the absence of Curry, but guys like Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins should be the bigger beneficiaries.

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Thompson has also been mediocre in terms of peripheral stats since returning to the lineup. He’s averaged 2.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, so I’m comfortable taking the unders on those props as well. OddsShopper gives each of these props an expected win rate of at least 70%, so fading Thompson is a great way to start our same-game parlay.


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Jordan Poole Over 17.5 Points

OddsShopper doesn’t have a huge lean on the over or under for Poole’s scoring prop, but I’m bullish on him in this matchup. The absence of Curry should result in a massive boost to his usage rate. He’s increased his usage rate by +6.8% with Curry and Green off the court this season, which is the top mark on the team. He’s averaged 23 points per 36 minutes in that situation.

This matchup vs. the Timberwolves is also a plus. They’ve played at the fifth-fastest pace this season, so this game should feature a solid number of possessions.

Malik Beasley Under 11.5 Points

On the Timberwolves side, I’m looking to take the under on Beasley’s scoring prop. Beasley was forced into a larger role while the Timberwolves were dealing with some absences, but they are now essentially back at full strength. That puts him behind Anthony Edwards, D’Angelo Russell,  Patrick Beverley in the pecking order. Beasley played just 24.1 minutes in their last contest, and he finished with just three points.

Beasley is likely due for a bit of positive shooting regression on Sunday – he was just 1-8 from the field in his last game – but he should still check in below 11.5 points. This prop has an expected win rate of 68% on OddsShopper, so it’s a nice way to finish out our same-game parlay.

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