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3 MUST-BET NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Klay Thompson & C.J. McCollum 3/8/22

Henry John



NBA fans have a six-pack of games to enjoy this evening. Headlining the slate is a nationally televised matchup between the resurgent New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies. Of course, bettors need not limit themselves to the marquee game of the night when it comes to finding value on NBA props and betting picks. After all, all tickets cash the same, regardless of the game, team or player! You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Tuesday night’s six-game slate.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Seth Curry Over 11.5 Points (-120, DraftKings)

The NBA player props oddsmakers have dropped the scoring totals for Seth Curry down in the wake of Kevin Durant making his return. While this adjustment is completely justified, one still cannot help but believe Curry has a great chance of exceeding 11.5 points in tonight’s matchup. First and foremost, his playing time has remained steady even with the Brooklyn Nets welcoming Durant back. While Curry failed to score more than eight points in each of the last two games, it is worth pointing out that the Nets just played two of the best defensive teams in the league. That will not be the case tonight as Brooklyn takes on the Charlotte Hornets.

In addition to a bottom-10 defensive efficiency ranking, the Hornets also rank third in Pace Factor. More possessions in tonight’s game figure to aid offensive production overall, with Curry being no exception. For a player who has averaged 15 points per game over the course of the full season, tonight’s NBA betting line of 11.5 is very cheap.

OddsShopper suggests that the market is leaning towards the over with this NBA props offering juiced in that direction at all sportsbooks. There is still value to be found, however, as the optimal -120 price is up to 15 cents cheaper than others in the market. At the preferred odds, Awesemo gives this over prediction a hefty 25% expected ROI. In addition, this prop pick is also determined to have a 68% win probability by way of a projection for Curry to score 14.5 points this evening.

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C.J. McCollum Under 5.5 Rebounds (-125, Caesars)

Since being dealt at the trade deadline, C.J. McCollum has single-handedly sparked a major turnaround for the New Orleans Pelicans. While other players have certainly stepped up to produce the winning results, McCollum is really the only major difference from before the surge to now. In addition to scoring at least 22 points in all but one game as a Pelican, McCollum has been a thorn in opponents’ sides on the glass as well. Since being traded, he has averaged 5.7 rebounds per game. When one considers that McCollum has never averaged more than 4.2 boards in a single season, that number becomes all the more impressive.

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The unfortunate thing is that McCollum’s production on the boards is unlikely to sustain at this rate. He has actually finished under his Pelicans average in three of the last four games despite still grabbing five rebounds in each. Given that New Orleans faces the Memphis Grizzlies tonight, bettors have even more reason to pursue playing under the NBA player props line of 5.5 rebounds. The Grizzlies have been holding down the top spot in terms of Rebound Rate for much of the season and are a full percentage point ahead of the next best team entering Tuesday’s action.

The fact that OddsShopper shows the majority of the NBA betting market listing this prop total one rebound lower at 4.5 is very telling. Even with the juice required to bet under the preferred number, Awesemo still gives this pick a 26% ROI value.

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Rebounds (-140, DraftKings)

After an abysmal shooting performance on Saturday night, the Golden State Warriors opted to sit Klay Thompson out of last night’s game for rest purposes. Thus, he will be back in the lineup for the second game of the team’s back-to-back this evening. While bettors may be gun shy about betting Thompson’s scoring NBA props tonight, there is terrific value to be had in the rebounding category. Since making his midseason debut, Thompson has provided an average of 3.9 rebounds per game. For as poor as his offensive game was on Saturday, he still contributed six boards in the upset loss. With today’s NBA player props total of 3.5 sitting below Thompson’s season average, the over is the preferred play.

Once again, it is worth noting the matchup in this situation. This time, it figures to be to the benefit of Thompson producing on the glass. The Clippers come in with the fourth-worst Rebound Rate of any team in the league. With a nod to consistency, Thompson has exceeded the NBA betting total in six of his last seven games played. The only time he fell short was by a single rebound. While OddsShopper again shows significant juice on the side we are looking to play, bettors can find discrepancies of over 20 cents across the market. Awesemo’s projection of 4.78 rebounds yields a massive 70% win probability to go along with a 20% ROI at optimal -140 odds.

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