A tripleheader of NBA playoffs Game 5s is scheduled for Tuesday night. Although all three matchups feature a team seeded first or second in their respective conference, only one sets up as a potential closeout scenario. One could say that this alone illustrates how wild the NBA playoffs have been thus far. Bettors can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.
Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!
Gabe Vincent Over 9.5 Points (-102, FanDuel)
Breaking news alert for tonight’s Eastern Conference Game 5: Miami Heat point guard Kyle Lowry has been ruled out with a hamstring injury. While backup Gabe Vincent is also listed on the team’s injury report with a toe injury, he has been designated as probable and is fully expected to play. With Lowry sidelined, bettors should anticipate Vincent playing no fewer than 25 to 30 minutes in tonight’s contest. Knowing this, there is an element of appeal to playing over his NBA player props point total of 9.5.
In actuality, Vincent has already exceeded his season scoring average of 8.7 points twice in this First Round series. The former UC Santa Barbara Gaucho scored 11 points in both Games 2 and 4 of this playoff series. Of course, Lowry also missed several games during the regular season as well. While his absence from the lineup did not always correlate to Vincent seeing a significant increase in points scored, he was able to exceed his scoring average and surpass tonight’s NBA betting line with double-digit efforts on several occasions. The fact that the Atlanta Hawks are a bottom-five team in terms of defensive efficiency also figures to bode well for this over prediction.
At the time of writing, OddsShopper actually indicates that the NBA player props market is trending towards the under on Vincent’s scoring prop tonight. With all sportsbooks carrying some juice to the under, this has afforded some favorable prices on the opposite side. Awesemo pegs Vincent to score 11.43 points this evening. This projection notably comes in nearly two full points above the posted prop line. At the best available price of -102, this wager is determined to have a 25% expected ROI value.
Jaden McDaniels Over 2.5 Rebounds (-128, BetMGM)
Minnesota Timberwolves forward Jaden McDaniels is hardly one of the key players in this NBA Playoffs series. However, he has notably played over 20 minutes in three of the first four games. If not for quickly accumulating a slew of foul charges against him on Saturday, McDaniels almost certainly would have seen more than 10 minutes of action. If he sees his typical playing time tonight, it’s hard not to give McDaniels a good chance to exceed the NBA player props total of 2.5 rebounds.
On the full season, McDaniels averaged over four rebounds per game while playing 25.8 minutes per contest. He saw his playing time fluctuate throughout the regular season based on injuries and the availability of other Timberwolves frontcourt players. The former first-round draft pick already put together a terrific rebounding effort in Game 1 of this series when he corralled seven boards in 25 minutes. Although McDaniels has failed to exceed tonight’s NBA betting props total in any of the three playoff games since, the line itself is on the low side relative to what McDaniels is capable of achieving on the glass.
The fact that OddsShopper shows that the market is juiced to the over serves as a good indication of where oddsmakers and sharper bettors are at on this prop prediction. Awesemo joins those who like the over by projecting McDaniels for 3.73 rebounds in tonight’s game. With this projection coming in over 1.2 boards above the betting total, it’s no surprise that the win probability sits at a confident 71%. Even with the odds being juiced to the over, Awesemo gives this prediction a healthy 27% ROI value at the optimal -128 price point.
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Deandre Ayton Over 10.5 Rebounds (-115, PointsBet)
The battle between centers Jonas Valanciunas and Deandre Ayton has quickly become one of the most intriguing matchups of the First Round series between the New Orleans Pelicans and Phoenix Suns. After Ayton dominated the duel in Game 3, Valanciunas got the better of him in Sunday’s Game 4. As the Suns are set to remain without Devin Booker for the duration of this series, the onus remains on Ayton to step up his game. On the bright side, he will have the home crowd behind him in Game 5 tonight.
Knowing the urgency that Phoenix has to hold serve tonight, bettors should consider backing Ayton to exceed the NBA player props line of 10.5 rebounds. While this is a number that Ayton has only surpassed once in the first four games of this series, it isn’t a lofty goal. He averaged 10.2 rebounds per game over the course of the full season. Including his last few games played down the stretch of the regular season, Ayton has recorded double-digit rebounds in four of the last eight overall.
Rebounding figures to be a huge component of this series going forward. The Pelicans have won the rebounding margin in all four games thus far. It is up to Ayton to lead the Suns’ effort to try and reverse that trend in Game 5. At the time of writing, OddsShopper indicates that the NBA betting market is juiced slightly to the over on Ayton’s rebounding prop tonight. The odds do vary from sportsbook to sportsbook, however. Optimal -115 odds are currently 10 cents cheaper than any other listing in the market. Combine this price with Awesemo’s projection of Ayton to snare 11.21 boards and the expected ROI for this over wager comes in at 6%.
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