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4/6/22 MUST-BET NBA Player Props | Nicolas Batum

Henry John



The best FREE NBA betting picks and player prop bets today: Expert predictions tonight for Nicolas Batum & Julius Randle 3/11/22

A total of six games comprise Wednesday’s NBA slate. Along with an interesting ESPN doubleheader, the Boston Celtics will face the Chicago Bulls in a key matchup as far as postseason seeding is concerned. We may not have the same volume of games as last night, but there are still plenty of NBA props and betting picks that deserve the attention and consideration of bettors. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

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With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Wednesday night’s action.

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With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player props betting odds is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Tomas Satoransky Under 6.5 Assists (-125, BetMGM)

Although he sits atop the Washington Wizards depth chart at the point guard position, Tomas Satoransky has only played more than 25 minutes once in the last five games. In fact, he has failed to be on the floor for more than 20 minutes in any of the team’s last three contests. With Ish Smith and Raul Neto also in the fold, the tanking Wizards have been utilizing a three-point guard rotation. Despite the limited playing time, the gifted passer has maintained his high assist rate.

Entering Wednesday’s road clash against the Atlanta Hawks, Satoransky has a streak of six straight games going over the NBA player props total of 6.5 with seven assists or more. In two of the three games in which he played 25 minutes or more, Satoransky finished with double-digit assist totals. He had seven helpers just last night in only 20 minutes of action. While the Hawks actually are a bottom-five team in terms of defensive efficiency this season, it’s simply impossible to trust that Satoransky will see any sort of substantial playing time. After all, no one can defy logic forever.

OddsShopper shows that the NBA betting market has come in on the under for this prop. Currently, -125 odds represent the lowest price one would have to lay on the under. Despite the juice in that direction, OddsShopper stands firm in its prediction. A projection of 5.74 assists results in a massive 74% probability that Satoransky finishes under the prop total. At the optimal odds, the ROI is listed at 33%.

Ayo Dosunmu Under 3.5 Assists (+105, Caesars)

Despite numerous Chicago Bulls players, including Zach LaVine and Alex Caruso, being listed on the injury report, virtually all have been given “probable” designations for tonight’s game. That being said, it’s hard to say where the team’s psyche will be at just one night removed from losing the Central Division title race to Milwaukee. Furthermore, the Bulls will be at a rest disadvantage tonight against a Boston Celtics team that has not played since Sunday. The backdrop automatically lends one to lean towards playing under on NBA player props totals, especially for someone like Ayo Dosunmu who has seen his playing time fluctuate recently.

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Although he is technically listed atop the depth chart at point guard, Dosunmu has played less than 30 minutes in two of the team’s last three games. Even more concerning is the fact that the rookie only logged 24 minutes in two of the last three contests. While Dosunmu has averaged 3.3 assists per game on the season overall, he has failed to achieve this mark as well as the NBA betting total of 3.5 in three of the last five games. Considering that tonight’s matchup comes against a Celtics team that ranks atop the league in defensive efficiency, offense could be a struggle for the Bulls in general.

The intrigue to play under Dosunmu’s NBA props assist total is only heightened further by OddsShopper‘s price comparison. Not only is there a +105 line available, but this price is up to 20 cents cheaper than what is being offered at other sportsbooks. While Awesemo’s projection of 3.33 assists does not lend a huge statistical edge, the favorable odds help bump the expected ROI value on this under prediction to 18%.

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Nicolas Batum Over 6.5 Points (-115, Caesars)

Although Los Angeles Clippers forward Nicolas Batum does not take a ton of shots on a per-game basis, the NBA player props line of 6.5 points is pretty easily obtained. For a player like Batum who can knock down the 3-pointer, 7points can be achieved quickly. He has certainly been achieving this mark recently. Batum has topped the scoring prop threshold in five of his last seven games played. Although he fell short in the Clippers’ most recent encounter, it was barely a miss as he scored 6 points.

Tonight, the Clips take on the best team in the NBA, the Phoenix Suns. Although this shapes up as a poor matchup on paper given the Suns’ strong defensive play, fatigue could play a factor. While Phoenix will be playing for the second time in as many nights, the Clippers have been idle since Sunday. The return of superstar Paul George to the lineup also boosts the overall offensive potential of all L.A. players.

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OddsShopper suggests that the NBA betting market favors betting over 6.5 points for Batum tonight. Odds are juiced in that direction across all sportsbooks, with a favorable -115 price lending up to ten cents of value over other listings. Awesemo pegs Batum to score 7.56 points tonight, over 1 full point above the betting line. A 9% ROI value can be obtained by making this wager at the optimal price point.

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