NBA fans have an early Christmas present awaiting them tonight with a loaded 11-game slate. Even as injuries and health and safety protocols continue to ravage depth charts, bettors can still find opportunities to come out on top. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned Awesemo OddsShopper Tool as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best player props and bets is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.
With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet prop predictions for a busy Thursday night of NBA basketball.
Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks Tonight
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!
Josh Hart Under 9.5 Rebounds (-110, PointsBet)
While Josh Hart is known for stuffing the stat sheet full across multiple categories on a nightly basis, one could argue that tonight’s NBA betting line for his total rebounds has gotten a bit carried away. On the season, the New Orleans Pelicans wing is averaging 7.1 boards per game. He would have to outperform that mark by nearly three full rebounds in order to eclipse tonight’s NBA player props total of 9.5. While Hart has snagged double-digit rebounds in three of the last five games, tonight’s game is against the Orlando Magic, one of the better rebounding teams in the league.
Awesemo’s projections peg Hart for exactly 8.41 rebounds in Thursday’s matchup. While this is well over his per-game average, it is also over one full board lower than the betting number. This prop bet has one of the higher expected win probabilities at 67%. OddsShopper currently lists the best price on this under prediction at -110. This results in a tremendous value play for bettors at an expected ROI of 28%.
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Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 Assists (+100, Caesars)
Star Dallas Mavericks point guard Luka Doncic is set to remain sidelined for the foreseeable future as he landed in the healthy and safety protocols on Wednesday. Prior to that, Doncic had missed the last five games with an ankle injury. In his place, Jalen Brunson has done a fine job orchestrating the Mavs’ offense. Just two nights ago, he poured in 28 points and also handed out six assists. While Brunson is only averaging 5.2 helpers on the season as a whole, the half-dozen assists in Tuesday’s game marked his lowest total over the last four games as the starting PG.
Awesemo’s projections are once again high on Brunson to clear tonight’s NBA player props total of 6.5 assists. For the opposing Milwaukee Bucks, this game marks the second of a back-to-back which could lead to some tired legs on defense. Best of all, the OddsShopper Tool directs us towards favorable +100 odds on this over prediction. Not only does that price offer up to 20 cents better value than other sportsbooks, but it results in a nice 28% expected ROI for this prop bet tonight.
Desmond Bane Under 16.5 Points (-112, SugarHouse)
After serving as a key cog for the Memphis Grizzlies while they were shorthanded, Desmond Bane had another great game even as star point guard Ja Morant rejoined the lineup on Tuesday. The 25-point performance marked Bane’s third time exceeding the 20-point threshold in the last four games. It also came on 50% shooting from the floor, including going 5-for-9 on 3-pointers. Bane’s usage is bound to subside as the Grizzlies ramp up Morant’s minutes moving forward. In addition, tonight’s matchup comes against a Golden State Warriors team that leads the league in scoring defense.
The OddsShopper Tool provides bettors with a clutch assist when it comes to evaluating this prop bet for tonight. While the majority of the NBA betting market lists Bane’s scoring total at 16.5, there is one book listing the line one full point lower at 15.5. Awesemo projects Bane for exactly 14.79 points tonight, nearly two below the NBA player props total. With his usage expected to decline and a tough defensive matchup on tap, it’s fair to expect Bane to fall short of his 16.5 points per game average. OddsShopper currently shows the optimal -112 odds to be up to 18 cents better value than other prices in the market.
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