Tuesday carries the largest schedule of Major League Baseball this season with 18 games and all 30 teams, including three doubleheaders. In spite of temperatures on the rise, OddsShopper features just one game with a total over nine and six games over 8.5 among those available to make expert MLB picks. At an early glance, the weather appears to be holding off postponements for a full chance at MLB predictions today.
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Nationals vs. Marlins O/U 8.5 Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
Joan Adon takes the mound for the visiting Washington Nationals (12-25) in their second of a three-game series against the Miami Marlins (16-19) and Cody Poteet. The Marlins are -165 moneyline favorites in a game with an 8.4 total as OddsShopper projects 8.2 runs. The under projects for a -2.6% return on investment.
Adon has a 19.2% strikeout rate, .258 average against and 5.44 FIP through seven starts. Adon’s 14.7% barrel rate and 7.03 earned run average set up for trouble against a Marlins offense with a 116 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year. The Marlins are expected to have seven righties and two lefty hitters, and Adon has a 1.36 WHIP and 4.08 xFIP against right-handed hitters and a 17.4% HR/FB rate against lefties in his career. Miami has a .255 batting average, .736 OPS and .153 ISO against right-handed pitching in 2022; Jazz Chisolm Jr. leads the way with a .678 slugging percentage and 199 wRC+ against the split.
Poteet draws his first start out of the bullpen with a 24.2% strikeout rate, .216 average against and 5.62 FIP in seven starts last season. Poteet has a 42.9% hard contact rate since 2021 and a 17.8% HR/FB rate that could influence the run total. Poteet has a 1.59 WHIP against right-handed hitting and 1.75 home runs per nine innings against left-handed hitters through his career, and the Nationals project to have three righties, three lefties and three switch-hitters tonight. Washington has a 21.1% strikeout rate, .689 OPS and 97 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, while Juan Soto has a staggering 1.04 OPS and .318 ISO against the split this season. Still, these offense are middling, and the high run total has OddsShopper projecting the under as one of the best MLB picks today.
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Best MLB Pick & Prediction: Nationals vs. Marlins UNDER 8.5 Total Runs (-115)
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Astros vs. Red Sox O/U 8.5 Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
The Houston Astros (23-13) will have Jose Urquidy on the mount against the Boston Red Sox (14-21) and Nathan Eovaldi. The Red Sox are -120 moneyline favorites in a game with an 8.7 total, while OddsShopper projects 8.6 runs. The under has a 2.3% expected return on investment.
Urquidy has a 15.7% strikeout rate, .292 average against and 1.33 WHIP in six starts, while his 12.4% barrel rate and 48.5% hard contact have increased from 2021. Boston is expected to have five righties and four lefties in the lineup. Urquidy had a 21% strikeout rate and 4.68 xFIP against right-handed hitting last season. The Red Sox have struggled with a .293 on-base percentage, .134 ISO and 92 wRC+ against righties, although Rafael Devers has a .880 OPS and .250 ISO against right-handed pitching this year.
Eovaldi has a 25.8% strikeout rate, .232 average against and 1.08 WHIP in seven starts. His increased 43.4% hard contact and 12.4% barrel rate raise a red flag, but Eovaldi had a 24.9% strikeout rate, 1.25 WHIP and 1.00 HR/9 against right-handed hitting last year and Houston will have six righties in the lineup. The Astros have a .743 OPS and 123 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year, with Yordan Alvarez posting a 215 wRC+, 1.08 OPS and .444 ISO against the split. Though Houston’s offense is always a threat, pitching seems to have the advantage in this matchup and the under projects as another of the best MLB predictions today.
Best MLB Pick & Prediction Today: Astros vs. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 Total Runs (-105)
More MLB Picks & Predictions | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM
- San Diego Padres Moneyline (-102), 2.3% xROI
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- Padres vs. Phillies Under (+100), 1.8% xROI
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- Angels vs. Rangers Over (-115), 5.5% xROI
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