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Cole K’s Best NBA Bet Today: NBA Beting Picks & Predictions 3/22/22

Cole Karas



Tuesday night features for NBA games, which have a few strong value spots in the NBA player prop market. Using OddsShopper to find the best value in NBA markets, these player prop bets stand out and have become the primary focus on tonight’s smaller card.

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Best NBA Bets & Picks Today

Warriors vs. Magic: Wendell Carter Jr. Player Prop Bet

The Orlando Magic are hosting the Golden State Warriors to kick off tonight’s slate at 7 p.m. EST. This game features the Warriors as 7-point favorites on the road in a game with an over/under coming in at 215. Despite missing Stephen Curry, the Warriors are still one of the best teams in the NBA, and betting on a side is not the way to attack this game. Wendell Carter Jr. has been a profitable player in the rebounding market throughout the season, and he has another strong value spot tonight. Carter is coming off a strong performance on Saturday that featured him scoring 30 points and grabbing 16 rebounds. His rebounding prop currently sits at 9.5 with -128 odds to the over, and in tonight’s matchup the play is the over. He has exceeded this number in 10 of his last 12 games, and he gathered 12 rebounds in his only other game against the Warriors earlier this season. When using OddsShopper to analyze this play, the prop has a win percentage coming in at 67% and a strong ROI percentage at 20%. Carter has been rolling since the All-Star break, and in a game where he will have to play a lot of minutes to keep it competitive, over 9.5 rebounds has strong value.

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Best NBA Bet Today: Wendell Carter Jr. Over 9.5 Rebounds (-128)

Clippers vs. Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Player Prop Bet

The second player prop of the night is another rebounding prop coming from current MVP hopeful Nikola Jokic. The Denver Nuggets are hosting the Los Angeles Clippers tonight to wrap up the slate at 10 p.m. EST. This matchup features a Nuggets team that is a 7-point home favorite in a game with an over/under of 222.5. Jokic’s rebounding prop is coming in at 12.5 rebounds with -106 odds to the over. Jokic has surpassed this number in all three of his games this season against the Clippers, accounting for 22, 14 and 13 rebounds. The Clippers rank 28th in rebounding and give up close to 16 rebounds per game to opposing centers. Although he has only hit this number in two of his last five performances, bigger picture he has surpassed 12.5 rebounds in 62% of games where he plays his usual 30-plus minutes. Jokic is a player that will always have juiced player prop lines, but with a few of his recent games being to the under, now is the perfect time to take the slight discount on the over 12.5 rebounds in a great matchup against the Clippers. OddsShopper currently has this play as a 58% chance of winning and a 12% ROI, furthering the confidence in the over on 12.5 rebounds for Jokic tonight.

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Best NBA Bet Today: Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds (-106)

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