Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free Expert Baseball Picks & Predictions 4/18

Today there is an 11-game slate with one starting at 11:10 a.m. ET and with the other 10 games being played in the evening. There are many opportunities to make some money, and below are the best prop bets today.

Each day this article will seek out the best expert MLB prop bets today based on the potentially most profitable according to xROI, and OddsShopper can help identify the best bets by making it easy to filter, sort, and bet. If a pick below has changed, you can always find another great MLB bet by filtering and sorting to maximize chances at profit.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions

Luis Garcia Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-155)

Luis Garcia takes the mound against the Los Angeles Angels tonight. Garcia has a career 25.4% strikeout rate, although he has gotten out to a slow start this season with strikeouts, with just one strikeout in four innings against Arizona. That is somewhat disappointing considering Arizona has a high strikeout rate (27.6%, No. 2). Garcia has an opportunity to get on track with strikeouts, as Los Angeles has a strikeout rate of 26.2% (No. 5).

Based on his career numbers, Garcia would have to pitch five innings on average to reach the five strikeouts needed to win the bet, and he gets a little boost going against a team with a 26.2% strikeout rate. Someone who looks at the most recent start would take the under. However, his career numbers show he only needs five innings to pick up those five strikeouts to win this bet.

Chas McCormick Over 0.5 Bases (-140)

Chas McCormick and the Houston Astros are going against Michael Lorenzen and the Los Angeles Angels. McCormick has a career .264 batting average, so if McCormick gets four at-bats, on average he will get just over one hit based. On the other size, Lorenzen has a career batting average against of .247. This season McCormick has eight hits in 23 at-bats. The metrics and recent form both suggest he has a great chance of getting a hit tonight, making it one of the best MLB prop bets today.

The Latest Sports Betting Content from Stokastic Odds

Alex Cobb Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)

Alex Cobb is facing the New York Mets tonight. He has a career 19.4% strikeout rate and averages 0.81 strikeouts per inning. He did have a career-high strikeout rate of 24.9% in 2021 on the Los Angeles Angels. This season he got off to a great start, striking out 10 batters in five innings. The Padres are No. 8 in team strikeout rate (25.7%), so it would make sense that Cobb would get a strikeout boost. The New York Mets are not striking out at the rates of the Padres, though. The Mets are No. 3 in runs scored so far and have a team strikeout rate of 20.1% (No. 25).

Based on his career numbers, Cobb would have to pitch on average 6.1 innings to get to five strikeouts. Going off of his numbers from last year (1.05 strikeouts per inning), he would have to pitch five innings. Given the Mets’ relatively low strikeout rate, Cobb projects to strike out hitters at closer to the rate he has done over the course of his career as opposed to what he did last year, point to the under

Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Home Runs (+500)

Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers take on Huascar Ynoa and the Atlanta Braves tonight. Ynoa allows 1.37 HR/9 over the course of his career, and Freeman has a career .232 ISO against right-handed pitching. Additionally, the weather forecast at Dodger Stadium tonight is 66 degrees with the wind blowing out the center field as well. Freeman doesn’t have a home run yet, he is facing a pitcher in a decent hitting environment, and this is a good spot for him to get on the home run leaderboard.

More HR Prop Bets Today

Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 HR (+166)
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 HR (+200)
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 HR (+280)

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