The much-anticipated battle between Steph Curry and Ja Morant will have to wait, as both are out tonight in Memphis. The Grizzlies hold a four-game lead over the Warriors in the two seed, as Memphis has already clinched a playoff berth. The lack of Morant hasn’t caught up to the Grizzlies, as they are an amazing 16-2 without their All-Star point guard and leader. Golden State can’t say the same, just 1-4 in their last five games without Curry. Headline by Desmond Bane and Dillon Brooks, the Grizzlies have four players outside of Morant averaging 10+ points per-game. The other two are Jaren Jackson Jr. and Brandon Clarke – both are questionable due to injury.
The Warriors are planning on taking the night off, are at least resting a couple of key players. Beyond Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are expected to sit due to “rest” against Memphis. Golden State is coming off a Sunday loss to the Wizards but did see signs of life from Andrew Wiggins, scoring 23 points in the defeat. Jordan Poole will see increased minutes and volume without three starters on the floor. Otto Porter Jr. is also questionable ahead of tonight. Golden State has lost two straight and five of their last ten, overall.
Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let’s get into some of the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Warriors vs. Grizzlies
NBA Player Props & Picks Today | Warriors vs. Grizzlies
Best Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping
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Grizzlies -3.5 First Quarter Spread: -110 (DraftKings)
There is a monster double-digit line for the undermanned Warriors to cover on the road, against a team playing far better. OddsShopper will cut that spread down by giving the best returns on halves or quarter plays, in this case attacking the value on a first-round knockout. The Grizzlies haven’t changed anything without Morant, and clearly aren’t phased by securing a spot in the playoffs. The incentive lies in the starters dismantling the Warriors in the first quarter, so Memphis can take advantage of some resting of their own. Memphis may still be playing like a team desperate to make the postseason, but they need rest, like any team down the stretch. Coming out and dominating Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole for 12 minutes shouldn’t be an issue, remember no Green to make things difficult on defense. The Warriors are as vulnerable from three as they are defending it without any staple like Curry on the floor. The Grizzlies can easily jump out with an early lead as the Warriors can’t match the firepower tonight.
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Jordan Poole Under 25.5 Points: -112 (FanDuel)
OddsShopper is anticipating a blowout, or at the very least a struggle for the Warriors. It would take a major miscalculation by the Grizzlies, treating this like their own “off night” to succumb to a significantly weakened Warriors team. The easy assumption would be an increase in point production for Poole, but to an extent. Awesemo’s free projection has Poole finishing with 23.3 points, combined with a 61% chance of him staying under 26 points. It’s even harder to find a solid xROI in this game with three starters out for the Warriors, but OddsShopper has this as one of the better returns at 15% overall. Poole has hovered around this number over his past five games but might see his minutes victimized by a blowout.
Tyus Jones Over 2.5 Rebounds: -154 (BetMGM)
Tyus Jones is going to play a lot tonight even if Golden State gets run out of the building. A big factor in his free projection from Awesemo landing on 3.6 rebounds is the extended minutes without Curry and added volume of smaller-market stats like rebounds for a point guard. Jones has taken full advantage of the increased opportunity, going over the 2.5 rebound total in three of his last four games. OddsShopper has a 69% chance of Jones smashing this over, with a decent 13% xROI. This also works as an anchor play in any same game parlay, or larger play across the entire slate.
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Desmond Bane Under 20.5 Points: -110 (DraftKings)
The Grizzlies are so balanced with their scoring down Morant that Bane may simply not have that long on the floor. Much like Poole earlier, Bane might see minutes cut short due to the unbalanced nature of the game. Bane most recently came off a 20-point performance where he failed to go over 2 made threes for the seventh-straight game. Awesemo has Bane finishing with 19.1 points on the night, and OddsShopper has a 58% chance of hitting the under. Bane could get hot and be the reason why his team gets up, but OddsShopper allows for that with a strong projection just north of 19 points.
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