MLB Betting Odds, Team Props & Expert Predictions for Mets, Braves & Rays

After taking the day off yesterday for the small slate, MLB props are back with a vengeance, as every MLB team is in action tonight. Let’s find the most profitable spots to attack for this slate of games. Below are three of the top MLB betting predictions with the best odds across a slew of sportsbooks for the best value picks.

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MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions | June 18

New York Mets over Washington Nationals: +115 (William Hill)

The Mets take on the Nationals today in Washington with Joey Lucchesi taking the mound against Erick Fedde. The Mets are finally starting to hit as the weather gets warmer. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are leading the way, and Dominic Smith is finally waking up from his season-long slumber. Billy McKinney has brought a hot bat with him when he arrived from Milwaukee in a trade. Fedde struggles with command, walking almost 10% of batters and also allowing an elevated xSLG of .422. On the other hand, Lucchesi has been very unlucky, as he is only allowing an xwOBA of .302 and striking out a respectable 26.5% of batters. This is simply a play on the fact that the line seems to take into account Lucchesi’s bad luck to start the year. The price seems wrong, and in the long run this will be a positive-expectation bet.

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Atlanta Braves over St. Louis Cardinals: -145 (William Hill)

The Braves are only -145 favorites at home in a very lopsided pitching matchup in which they are favored tremendously. Carlos Martinez has had very little success to start the year, only striking out 16% of batters, allowing almost 45% hard hits and an xSLG of .462. Max Fried, on the other hand, has been much better at limiting hard contact, with only 32.7% hard hits and 6.5% barrels. The Braves are at home and will throw a very daunting lineup top to bottom against Martinez. This should be a blowout win for the Braves, as their pitching and hitting are in great spots today.

Tampa Bay Rays over Seattle Mariners: -108 (DraftKings)

The Tampa Bay Rays are a very good baseball team taking on a very young and inexperienced team in Seattle tonight. The pitching matchup undoubtedly favors the Rays to start the game; they will make this a bullpen game only using Michael Wacha as long as he remains effective. Tampa’s bullpen is very deep and full of strikeout arms. This is simply a line that should favor the Rays much more than it does. Tampa has a better offense and a better bullpen, and the poor starter should be limited in the number of pitches, making him much less of a liability.

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