There is an interesting Monday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills tonight. These prime-time games have turned in big individual performances, and there are plenty of exciting players in tonight’s game. Let’s take a look at the best Patriots vs. Bills NFL betting picks for the Week 13 Monday Night Football game, using the Awesemo OddsShopper.
Week 13 NFL Best Bets for Monday Night Football
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Date: Monday, Dec. 6, 2021
Time: 8:15 p.m. EST
Venue: Highmark Stadium — Orchard Park, N.Y.
Patriots vs. Bills NFL Betting Picks + Odds Shopping
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Damien Harris Under 10.5 Yards Receiving (-160, PointsBet)
As seen on OddsShopper, sorting the player props for this game by the expected win percentage brings this prop to the very top. The tool gives the over on this Damien Harris receiving prop an 81% chance to hit and an expected ROI of 32%. OddsShopper projects Harris for only 6.2 yards receiving in the game. Prior to totaling 12 yards last game, he was under 10 yards receiving in six straight games. The Bills have also allowed only 352 yards receiving to running backs this season, which is the fourth fewest.
Jonnu Smith Under 2.5 Receptions (-186, FanDuel)
Jonnu Smith got a little extra work against his former team last week, catching three passes. It was all the way back to Week 4 when he last was able to do that. Simply put, Smith does not have a very large role, and there is no reason for that to change tonight. OddsShopper gives this prop a 78% chance to hit the under and an expected ROI of 20%, projecting Smith for 1.7 receptions.
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Cole Beasley Over 30.5 Yards Receiving (-110, FanDuel)
The Patriots are a great defense and have had strong cornerback play on the outside. The soft spot for the Bills to attack will be in the slot, which is where Cole Beasley thrives. Josh Allen has leaned on Beasley in big games, and tonight is certainly a big game that will have a playoff atmosphere. Beasley is also coming off a game in which he totaled 46 yards receiving on five receptions. OddsShopper gives this prop a 71% chance to hit the over and an expected ROI of 35%, projecting Beasley for 46.4 yards receiving tonight.
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