NASCAR transitions from making its inaugural run at the Circuit of the Americas (COTA) to one of its most hallowed grounds in Charlotte. The second of the NASCAR grand slam will commence this Sunday evening with the running of the Coca-Cola 600. Let’s delve into this week’s top NASCAR betting picks, odds, and predictions for outright favorites, props and some exotics on DraftKings Sportsbook for this week’s race at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Coca-Cola 600 NASCAR Betting Picks, Odds & Predictions
Outright Favorites
Another intermediate track, another week where Kyle Larson is the outright favorite. After opening up at +800 on DraftKings Sportsbook, Larson quickly saw his odds get sawed nearly in half. Now on the precipice of practice and qualifying, Larson stands at +500. Those odds are slightly lower than Martin Truex Jr. (+550), who opened the week as the favorite. Truex hasn’t been nearly as good as Larson in terms of laps led in the low-horsepower package in 2021, but Truex does have a slightly better average finish for the year.
Beating both Truex and Larson, in average finish, would be Kyle Busch who currently sits at +650. Busch is the most recent winner in this package (Kansas) and is a Charlotte winner as recently as 2018 in which he led 377 laps. Nearly matching these drivers, as per average finish, would be the ascending William Byron, who has the best odds of any potential winner at +1600. In the four races at intermediate tracks, Byron has failed to finish outside of the top 10, including his win at Homestead. Last week’s 11th-place finish at COTA was the first time he finished worse than 1oth since coming home 33rd at the Daytona Road Course. Byron followed up that disappointing road course effort with a win; perhaps he will do the same this weekend following COTA.
Top 5 Bets
A dark horse that should be on everyone’s radar is Alex Bowman, currently +1600 for the outright victory. Bowman’s script in the 550-horsepower package has been to fade on hot days. Sunday’s forecast for Concord, North Carolina appears to be cloudy with an unseasonably lower high that will peak in the upper 60s. By the conclusion of the race, temps appear to be in the low 60s.
Charlotte was already one of Bowman’s better tracks, adding in this grip factor with cloud cover and lower temperatures should play into his wheelhouse. If betting Bowman outright is a hard sell, get behind his top-five number, currently at +195.
For those looking for a slightly more intriguing number, Tyler Reddick sits at +450 for a finish within the top five. While Charlotte doesn’t have near the banking of Homestead, where Reddick has excelled, it does have progressive banking maxing out at 24 degrees. If there is grip and speed to be found near the wall, Reddick can find it, especially as the race transitions into a night race. In the back-to-back Charlotte races last season, Reddick finished 14th and eighth with an average running position hovering around 11th.
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Coca-Cola 600 Props
The following are a list of interesting props being offered by DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday evening’s race:
- Team of Race Winner: Hendrick Motorsports +180
- Top Toyota Car: Denny Hamlin +225
- Best Finishing Position – Race: Chris Buescher -109 versus Aric Almirola
- Top Chevrolet Car: Alex Bowman +650
- Number of drivers to lead a lap: Over 10.5 -106
This week’s parlay ventures into foreign territory as NASCAR holds qualifying for the third time all season. Using average fastest laps in the four races with the low-horsepower package as a guide, Larson emerges as a runaway candidate with 61.5 per race. Larson sits at +650 to win the pole on Saturday, tied with Busch for the second-best odds. However, Brad Keselowski has a better number (+1200) and won the pole for this race last season. Furthermore, Keselowski sneakily is averaging the third-most fastest laps in this package (20.3).
Following Cup’s single-car qualifying session, the Xfinity Series will race in the Alsco Uniforms 300. Conventional wisdom would side with taking Austin Cindric at +400. Yet Cindric has failed to win any of the races at the intermediate tracks and only has one top-five finish in those events. Although he has no wins, this season or any, Daniel Hemric offers better outright odds at +900. Hemric has the best average finish in the three races at intermediate tracks in 2021 (fifth) and is averaging the third-most laps led (24.7). In this race last year, Hemric finished second. Perhaps the stars can finally align for Hemric to get his first NASCAR victory ever.
If the Keselowski and Hemric bets are combined as a parlay, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +12900 odds, paying $1,300 on a $10 bet.
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