Everyone on the Golden State Warriors issued a team exhale as Stephen Curry set the All-Time 3-point record, then went out and beat the Knicks for their fourth win in their last five games. The Warriors were not quite clicking leading up to the record-breaking night at Madison Square Garden and should return to that more convincing form of domination at the start of the year. Jayson Tatum cannot do it alone, no matter how many times this year he has been asked to do so. Jaylen Brown‘s return has taken some pressure off Tatum, but the Celtics are struggling without anything consistent after their top two stars. Boston is 7-4 at home and will be tested by a Warriors team with renewed focus, so let’s head to OddsShopper — the 100 percent FREE tool that shops the best value for player props and game bets.
Check out Adam Strangis’ best NBA parlay picks for the Warriors vs. Celtics game, where he gives his favorite NBA player props and best bets for a BIG-TIME PAYOFF.
Best NBA Betting Picks & Props | Warriors vs. Celtics
Warriors vs. Nets NBA Betting Picks + Odds Shopping
The easiest place to find the best bets in the NBA is on OddsShopper, the one-stop shop for value and where to place your wager. The best part is the tool is free and easy to use. Simply filter, sort the page and find the best return available across all books.
Under 216.5 (-110, FanDuel)
The Warriors are an under play — especially on the road — until proven otherwise. Even that would be more than a game or two before the trend shifts. As sharp as Golden State is in scoring — 3rd in the NBA — it is their defense that has been the biggest vehicle for their success. Draymond Green is at the top for Defensive Player of the Year and has an aggressive supporting cast — even with ancillary help from guys like Andre Iguodala returning. Jordan Poole and Al Horford are in COVID protocols and will miss tonight’s game. Even Brown is not fully back from multiple stints on the IL. Tatum may go for 60 — but Boston is not getting enough around him to give confidence they can put up more than 100 on the league’s best scoring defense. Boston will fight but even they play more to the under — 6-5 at home and 16-11-1 on the year. The under is 20-7-1 this year for Golden State including ten of eleven road games. Make sure you are checking OddsShopper‘s game bets where you can sort by sides, totals, and more!
Jayson Tatum Under 27.5 Points (-114 FanDuel)
After heading to OddsShopper’s player props page and sorting by expected win rate percentage, this prop is lands right at the top for tonight’s game. Alex and Team Awesemo have Tatum projected for just 24.7 points — nearly a 3-point gap between projection and result. As expected, this has a higher expected win rate of 66% but also returns an expected ROI of 24%. Beyond the free services of OddsShopper’s sorting tools and the overall benefits of shopping bets — it also provides Awesemo’s projections. Tatum comes off a gigantic performance against the Bucks and would be prime for a letdown against a better defensive team. Boston will try to get other people involved until they realize it is not going to work, but at that point the damage will be done.
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Marcus Smart Under 11.5 Points (-115 DraftKings)
The Celtics will certainly try to take some pressure off of Tatum by getting other guys involved early against the Warriors — it is just not going to be Marcus Smart. In seven games this month Smart hit over 6 points in just three games. He has not even hit 6 points in each of the last two games, but the biggest factor is his minutes have not dipped. Outside of an outlier or two, Smart is getting 30+ minutes and unable to convert it into points. Thanks to OddsShopper bettors are able to see the difference in projection and book, making it one of the top plays with an expected win rate of 61%.
Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points (+105 DraftKings)
Green simply has not been scoring much, and with Curry less focused on Ray Allen and more on the Celtics, not much should change. Green’s minutes are not drastically going up with Poole out, nor will Green be asked to see an increase of shots. Green hit over 8 points in just three of seven games this month — and just one time in his last five. Keep going back OddsShopper, as it will show the best value on this play and where to play it. The Warriors will get a ton of production of Green against the Celtics — it just will not be in the form of scoring points. The numbers are there with plus money.
Halftime/Final Margin of Victory – Celtics 1-5/Warriors 1-5 (+2000 FanDuel)
This is going to take a couple of things to happen, but it actually makes sense. The under on 216.5 is a good play, so expect another slower pace grueling defensive effort from the Warriors. They should be little flat in the first half after such an emotional victory against the Knicks. Golden State is amazing but human and had a huge night celebrating Curry. The Celtics are also good at home — at least compared to on the road — and can jump out to a lead here. Neither team will ultimately pull away, but it is easy to see Boston coming out trying to knock out Golden State in the first half, and then the Warriors mounting that comeback and winning by 3-4 points.
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