The NBA regular season is officially in the home stretch, and we have another 11 games slated for Wednesday. The action wraps up with a nightcap between the Spurs and Trail Blazers, who are both on the periphery of the playoff picture. Both teams are still live to qualify for the play-in tournament, but it remains to be seen if either team is actually interested in doing so. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for March 23.
Same Game NBA Picks & Parlays: Spurs against Trail Blazers
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Justise Winslow Under 0.5 3-Pointers
Winslow recently returned to the Trail Blazers lineup, and he’s coming off 30.4 minutes in his last outing. Winslow is capable of doing a lot of things on a basketball court, but he is far from a 3-point marksman. He’s made just 31.6% of his 3-point attempts for his career, and he’s shooting just 23.4% from distance this season. He’s been slightly better as a member of the Blazers, making 28.6% of his attempts on 3.5 attempts per game, but that’s still incredibly inefficient.
With that in mind, getting this prop at nearly +200 feels like a major win. Winslow went 0-2 from 3-point range in his last outing, and OddsShopper gives the under a 44% expected win rate. That means you’ll likely lose this prop more than you’ll win, but the wins offer enough return to more than make up the difference. Overall, the under owns an expected return on investment of +29%, making it the most profitable prop bet in this matchup.
Brandon Williams Over 17.5 Points
The Blazers are essentially giving up on the rest of the season, even though they’re just 2.5 games out of a spot in the play-in tournament. It’s hard to blame them with Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons out and C.J. McCollum now playing for the Pelicans.
All those absences have allowed Williams to step in as the team’s primary scoring threat. The undrafted rookie has played in 14 games with the Blazers this season, and he’s averaged 14.6 points per game. He’s been even better in eight games without Simons, averaging 17.1 points over 32.5 minutes. He’s scored at least 23 points in two of his past three games, and he should be able to hit the over again if this game stays competitive.
The Latest Sports Betting Content from Awesemo Odds
- The Awesemo NBA Betting Model (FREE TRIAL)
- Warriors vs. Mavericks Best NBA Bets Sunday 5/22 + FREE $200 at BetMGM Promo
- Best NRFI Bets Today, Sunday 5/22: No Runs First Inning Betting Picks
- Ben’s SHARP $$ Bet of the Day + FREE $200 at BetMGM
- Most Profitable Bets For Celtics vs. Heat Game 3 Tonight 5/21/22
- Awesemo DFS on Youtube
Jakob Poeltl Over 13.5 Points
Poeltl has been quiet for the Spurs recently, finishing with just seven points in back-to-back games. However, the Blazers represent an elite bounce-back spot. They rank 29th in defensive efficiency this season, and they’ve allowed a ridiculous 56.7 points in the paint per game over their past three. Poeltl should be able to do work against this soft interior, so this is an excellent time to buy low on him.
C.J. Elleby Under 6.5 Rebounds
Elleby was the Blazers’ second-round pick in the 2020 NBA Draft, and he’s been given the chance to play a bit more given all their absences. Unfortunately, he hasn’t exactly taken advantage. He’s averaged 28.6 minutes over the team’s last 19 games, but Elleby has averaged just 7.5 points and 5.8 rebounds with dreadful shooting splits.
With that in mind, it’s not surprising that his playing time has started to fade. He’s dipped to just 23.5 minutes per game over his past four outings, and he’s managed just 5.5 rebounds per game in those contests. It requires laying a bit of juice on the under, but OddsShopper gives it an expected win rate of 66%.
Check out the AwesemoOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.
The Awesemo NBA Betting Model (FREE TRIAL)
Warriors vs. Mavericks Best NBA Bets Sunday 5/22 + FREE $200 at BetMGM Promo
Best NRFI Bets Today, Sunday 5/22: No Runs First Inning Betting Picks
Ben’s SHARP $$ Bet of the Day + FREE $200 at BetMGM
Most Profitable Bets For Celtics vs. Heat Game 3 Tonight 5/21/22
Best MLB Bets Today (5/21): Baseball Prop Betting Picks
NASCAR All-Star Race Betting Picks & Predictions: Best Odds, Tips & Bets | Sunday, 5/22/22
Most Profitable Bets For Mavericks vs. Warriors Game 2 Tonight 5/20/22