Monday features an eight-game slate, including a matchup between the Knicks and Kings. This matchup may not look great on paper, as neither of these teams is currently in a playoff position, but nothing can make a lackluster game more exciting than having a little action on it. If the spread is not to your liking, there are plenty of prop bets to consider getting down on. Let’s dive into some NBA betting tips tonight and how to find the best NBA picks and parlays for March 7.
Same Game NBA Picks and Parlay: Knicks vs. Kings
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once on the NBA page, it is super simple to customize teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss.
Mitchell Robinson Under 10.5 Rebounds
Robinson is one of the Knicks’ most promising young players, which is a sad indictment of the franchise at the moment. The team is playing for nothing but draft positioning at the moment, so getting Robinson a few extra minutes at the expense of Nerlens Noel and Taj Gibson makes sense.
Still, this number seems a bit inflated. Robinson has pulled down at least 11 boards in back-to-back games, but has still averaged just 8.8 rebounds per game this season. He has had 10 boards or less in 32 of 51 games. Even if you give him a few additional minutes moving forward – he has averaged just 25.5 minutes per game this season – this number is still a bit too flattering. The Kings have also shown improvement on the glass since acquiring Domantas Sabonis, ranking eighth in team rebound rate over their past three games.
Trey Lyles Over 9.5 Points
What is better than facing the Knicks’ shoddy defense? Facing the Knicks’ shoddy defense on the second leg of a back-to-back. They were able to cruise to a comfortable victory over the Clippers on Sunday, but the Knicks could still be a bit tired in their fourth consecutive road game.
Lyles was acquired by the Kings as part of the trade that sent Marvin Bagley to Detroit, and his productivity in Sacramento has been lackluster. However, he has still managed to score at least 11 points in two of his past four games despite playing limited minutes. The over on Lyles’ scoring prop owns an expected win rate of 65% on OddsShopper, which is one of the top marks in this contest.
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Evan Fournier Over 15.5 Points and Over 1.5 Assists
Fournier did not come through for bettors on Sunday, finishing with just seven points and one assist. He was limited to just 29.4 minutes in his last outing, but he should see significantly more playing time vs. the Kings. The Knicks are down most of their top backcourt options, leaving Fournier and Alec Burks to handle most of the minutes.
Prior to Sunday’s outing, Fournier had averaged 34.2 minutes, 17.4 points and 2.1 assists over his previous 12 games. He should be able to return to that level of production in an excellent matchup vs. the Kings. They have played at the seventh-fastest pace this season and they rank just 28th in defensive efficiency.
Domantas Sabonis Over 5.5 Assists
Sabonis does not get enough credit for being one of the most talented big men in the league. He is on pace to average at least 18.5 points, 12.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists for the third consecutive season, and not many players have accomplished that feat.
Sabonis has also taken on a larger role as a distributor since arriving in Sacramento. He has averaged 6.0 assists in his 10 games with the Kings and has hit the over on 5.5 assists in each of his past five games. He should be able to do it again vs. the Knicks.
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