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NFL Championship Sunday Betting Picks: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs | Travis Kelce Props

Julian Edlow



NFL Odds: Josh Walfish's Free Super Bowl Sunday NFL Picks + NFL Odds Boosts To Watch | Rob Gronkowski + Tyreek Hill + Travis Kelce.

The Bills travel to Kansas City on Sunday evening with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. Using the help of OddsShopper to locate the best plays and prices, let’s analyze some NFL betting picks.


NFL Betting Picks & Predictions | Top NFL Bets

Bills at Chiefs: Travis Kelce OVER 94.5 Yards Receiving (-118)

Bills at Chiefs: Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (-125)

Bills at Chiefs: Travis Kelce 100 Yards and TD Odds Boost (+225)

If there’s a hole in Buffalo’s defense, it’s allowing production to tight end, and that could prove vert costly against Travis Kelce and the Chiefs. Kelce set a tight end record for yards this season and is averaging 95.3 yards per game. The prop is set appropriately for average here, but this matchup is far from average.

The Bills allowed the most receptions per game to the tight end position and the second-most yards. We saw this play out in the Wild Card round when Philip Rivers was able to hit his trio of tight ends 14 times for well over 100 yards. Kelce has gone for at least 98 yards in seven of his last nine games. Kelce also has 12 touchdowns on the season and has found the end zone in five straight. Laying -125 on an anytime score is a steal.

I take a little bit of pride in this one, as my podcast (Unreasonable Odds) is offering this boost on the DraftKings Sportsbook. I just laid out why Kelce should get 95 yards and a touchdown, so why not combined the two and go for a 100-yard game with a score?

Kelce’s cashed this prop in three of his last five and fell just two yards short in one of the misses. At +225, we’re getting a great price, especially with the props being somewhat correlated.

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