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Same-Game Parlay Picks for NFL Wild Card Saturday Playoffs | Bills vs. Patriots

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The Bills and Patriots face off for the third time this season on Super Wild Card Weekend. Each team has a win in the series, but Saturday night’s game is the most important meeting yet. This game is a perfect opportunity to use OddsShopper to build some NFL Parlay Picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best NFL betting picks in 30 seconds or less.

In New York? Don’t forget to check out Alex Baker’s article on how to MAXIMIZE your sportsbook bonus.

Also be sure to check out OddsShopper’s matchups page, breaking down all the data for each game on a given slate.

Best Patriots vs. Bills Same Game NFL Picks & Parlays

The first step is finding the sport to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. On the NFL page bettors can filter by game as well as by type of bet. That includes spreads, moneylines, totals and player props.

Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.

Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. We also want to correlate our parlay’s based around events that are likely to happen together. This takes some nuance, which we will explore further as we make the picks. Let us find out what the best-projected bets are for Saturday and build some NFL parlay picks.

Also be sure to check out OddsShopper’s matchups page, breaking down all the data for each game on a given slate.

Gabriel Davis Under 27.5 Yards Receiving

Davis has been on a tear lately, going over 39 yards in four consecutive games. However, that does not paint the full picture. Three of those games were without Emmanuel Sanders active, while the fourth was the game in which Sanders suffered his injury. Davis was clearly filling in for Sanders during his absence, but Sanders is expected back for the playoffs. With Sanders in the lineup, Davis was held under 27.5 yards in three of his prior six.

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Conditions are also expected to be much more difficult than usual this week. New England allows the second-lowest completion percentage of any defense in the NFL and faces the fourth-fewest passing attempts. Temperatures are expected to be in the single digits, and quarterback Josh Allen has thrown for only 6 yards per attempt and a 50% completion rate in games below freezing in his career. This bet has a 66% chance of winning, good for a 27% expected ROI on FanDuel.


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Devin Singletary Under 65.5 Yards Rushing

It is also expected to be tough sledding for Singletary and the Bills rushing attack. Singletary has taken over as the lead back in Buffalo, but that has not been enough to help him in prior meeting with New England. The Patriots feature a top-10 run defense by DVOA and have held Singletary under 40 yards on the ground in each of their prior meetings. Even in the run-heavy “wind game” between these teams earlier in the season, Singletary ran for only 3.6 yards per carry on 10 attempts.

Expect Zack Moss to mix in for his usual handful of carries and Allen to get some designed runs here as well. That limits Singletary’s ability to hit the over on this prop. This prop has a 68% expected win rate in OddsShopper, which is good for a 31% ROI. The best line is on PointsBet, but for the sake of the parlay, the FanDuel line is solid as well. They have the line set at 64.5, and it is pretty unlikely Singletary will finish with exactly 65 yards. With the Davis prop, that brings the running odds to +279 on the parlay.

Patriots Moneyline

Of all the team-based bets in OddsShopper for this game, the Patriots moneyline has the best expected ROI. OddsShopper is giving the Patriots a 43% chance of winning this game. The best line is at PointsBet, but it is still a good bet at FanDuel, where the line is +172. That leads to an expected ROI of just over 6% there.

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More importantly, this pick correlates nicely with the other two selections. A down game from both Davis and Singletary portends a struggling Bills offense, which clearly increases the chances of the Patriots winning outright. To get really crazy, mix in some Patriots overs as well. OddsShopper has Mac Jones yards passing and Nelson Agholor yards receiving both with positive expected ROIs. It is not necessary, though, as there are sufficiently long odds on this three-leg parlay as is. It is currently +622 on FanDuel.


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