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Best Same-Game NFL Parlay Picks Tonight Chiefs vs. Chargers Thursday Night Football




Thursday Night Football does not always have the best games of the week for the NFL. Tonight is a major exception, with the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Los Angeles Chargers in a vital AFC West matchup. That makes it a perfect opportunity to use OddsShopper to build some same game NFL Parlay Picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.

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Chiefs vs. Chargers Same Game NFL Parlay Picks Today

The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NFL page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.

Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.

Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this whole process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Thursday Night Football and build some NFL parlay picks tonight.

Keenan Allen Over 6.5 Receptions

The injury report has some important information for both teams tonight. On the Chiefs side of things cornerback L’Jarius Sneed is out, and he played in the slot for 61% of his snaps this season. That is a big boost to the outlook of Keenan Allen, who is in the slot 52.2% of the time this season. Despite missing last week, Allen is still sixth in targets (124), eighth in target share (27%) and fifth in receptions (86) on the season. Running back Austin Ekeler is not expected to get his full workload with an ankle injury, and he has a 15.3% target share, fourth highest among running backs. Allen is in line for a lot of work tonight, and the Chiefs are missing their primary defender in the slot. OddsShopper shows an expected win rate of 52%, but some sportsbooks have the over at plus money. That is a great way to boost the ROI for a same-game parlay.

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Mike Williams Over 54.5 Yards Receiving

OddsShopper gives this wager an expected win rate of 62%, and Mike Williams is projected for 70 yards. One of the most important injuries of this game is defensive lineman Chris Jones for Kansas City. He and Frank Clark are vital to the Chiefs defensive renaissance lately, but Jones will not be active tonight, making it more difficult to generate pressure. Williams should match up with cornerback Charvarius Ward, who has had a strong season statistically. Ward has allowed a 41.9% catch rate on 43 targets, but he has allowed 11.1 yards per reception. Williams has averaged 70.4 yards per game this year, and he has a target share of 20.2%. Williams is also just outside the top 20 in yards per reception (15). This game has a high total of 52 points, and both offenses should go back and forth.

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Patrick Mahomes Over 279.5 Yards Passing

It is not very often that Patrick Mahomes has a passing prop this low, and OddsShopper has a 62% win rate with this wager. He has only averaged 280.2 yards this season, and his deep completion rate of 30.5% has not helped him. However, Mahomes is third in attempts (502), and that likely will not change tonight. The Chargers defense is not at full health either, as both cornerback Asante Samuel Jr. and safety Derwin James are questionable and did not practice fully during the week. They also allow a 63.1% completion rate, and Mahomes should be able to take advantage of that. What is striking is Mahomes is projected for over 300 yards, and that is a huge gap according to OddsShopper.

Over 52 Total Points

Combining these four legs would give a return of roughly +1256 according to the Awesemo Parlay Calculator, and both offenses average 27 points scored each per game. With both defenses either missing players outright or fielding players that are still playing hurt, the offenses are in good spots. These are two of the best quarterbacks in football, and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 63% for the over. Even if both defenses were at full strength, they are 20th or lower in total DVOA, and this game should have plenty of fireworks.

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