The Minnesota Vikings remain alive in pursuit of the final NFC Wild Card against a Green Bay Packers team vying for the conference’s top seed in Week 17 Sunday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched OddsShopper, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 17 NFL player props available based on the tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for Week 17’s Vikings vs. Packers Sunday Night Football matchup.
Week 17 Sunday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
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Dalvin Cook Over 14.5 Yards Receiving (-113, FanDuel)
No Kirk Cousins may be an indication of more Dalvin Cook, who draws an inviting receiving prop on Sunday Night Football. Cook has averaged 20.1 receiving yards per game while projecting for 22 receiving yards against Green Bay, transpiring to an OddsShopper 60% expected win rate and 12% return on investment for the over. The Packers have surrendered 34.6 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs and rank 25th in defensive pass DVOA against the position. Cook’s had a down year in the receiving department compared to his four previous seasons, yet still exceeds the total necessary to best the over, despite the question of quarterbacking by backup Sean Mannion heading into Sunday night. In a matchup the Vikings will be leaning on him heavily take the over on Cook’s receiving yards at moderately low juice.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 35.5 Yards Receiving (-113, FanDuel)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has emerged as a consistent threat to Packers’ opponents and garners a feasible receiving prop against a leaky Minnesota secondary on Sunday night. Valdes-Scantling has averaged 47.4 receiving yards per game and projects for 43.4 receiving yards against the Vikings, lending to a 56% expected win rate and 1% return on investment for the over. Minnesota has allowed the second most receiving yards to opposing wide receivers with 188.13 and rank 20th in defensive pass DVOA against the WR2 position. Valdes-Scantling notched 123 receiving yards on four receptions and 10 targets in his last encounter with Minnesota, making a feasible over for receiving yards worthwhile at just above standard juice in a game the Packers need to retain the top NFC seed on Sunday night.
Tyler Conklin Over 20.5 Yards Receiving (-125, PointsBet)
Tyler Conklin has provided a reliable security blanket for Cousins and looks to do the same for his backup on Sunday Night Football. Conklin has averaged 36 receiving yards per game and projects for 31.83 receiving yards against the Packers, extending to an OddsShopper 63% expected win rate and 9% return on investment for the over. The Packers have allowed 51.53 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends and rank 24th in defensive pass DVOA against the position. Despite the difference in quarterback, Conklin has secured the third most Vikings target share with 14.3% (behind Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson) and has managed 21 or more receiving yards in ten outings this season. A low-hanging receiving prop over at a quarter-added juice makes sense for Conklin under the circumstances especially.
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