Thursday night’s schedule brings eight games to the NHL betting table. Like Tuesday, there is a nice mix of big totals in places like Philadelphia and a prime-time matchup in Boston with the Capitals coming to town. With so many games going, it is always a tall task to hunt out the best value on the markets unless using Awesemo’s newly updated NHL OddsShopper, which offers the best of everything on one site.
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Sharks Moneyline vs. Kraken (-102, FanDuel)
The Sharks (6-3-1 in their last 10) come into this matchup with the struggling Kraken as the second-best expected ROI of all favorites in OddsShopper‘s NHL bets, behind just the Golden Knights. The stark contrast in those bets is the value with the Sharks, at just -103 against the Knights’ -360 (FanDuel), with both getting a comfortable opponent. The Sharks are coming off a thrashing of the rival Kings, which saw Timo Meier put up five goals in the first 30 minutes of the game. As mentioned, the Kraken have struggled all year due to what was arguably the most baffling expansion draft in the league’s existence. With no puck-dominant forwards, they have struggled to score consistently all year, with just 2.66 goals per game and a bottom-five expected goals mark at five-on-five. The Sharks are not an offensive powerhouse by any means, but the Kraken’s lack of any shutdown pair is evident allowing the league’s second-most goals per game — 3.61.
Road favorites at near even money with a high expected ROI are hard to come by in any sport, let alone hockey. Finally, with a fully healthy squad facing the inept Kraken, it does make more sense than usual for San Jose.
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Neal Pionk Under 2.5 Shots on Goal vs. Predators (-180, Caesars)
Pionk checks in with the best hold rate of all shot total bets, at just 4.1%. That is in line with other forwards such as Sam Reinhart and Anze Kopitar. On the year Pionk has fired off just 71 shots in 32 games and projects for just 2.2 shots on target in Awesemo’s projections. Along with the negatively trending projection and historical data, the Jets are also facing a Predators defense that has done well suppressing shots and scoring chances all year. Per NaturalStatTrick, Nashville ranks top 10 in chances against, shots against and long-distance chances against on a 60-minute basis.
Pionk is not the catalyst for the Jets offense, and as long as Nashville can show some discipline (second-most penalized team in the league), they should keep him under wraps.
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