Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move odds in your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NBA picks and NFL picks to bet on, if it’s smart to buy into what the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport.
It’s opening day in the NFL, which means there are plenty of NFL odds boosts surrounding Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs against the Texans. We’ll look at two odds boosts from this opening night in football as well as a critical Game 4 in the NBA between the Lakers and Rockets. So let’s jump into the best NBA odds boosts and NFL odds boosts we found on OddsShopper today.
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NFL Odds Boosts
Patrick Mahomes Has 300+ Passing Yards AND 3+ Passing Touchdowns AND Chiefs Win (+270 FanDuel)
It makes sense for the sportsbooks to focus in on Mahomes for so many of their odds boosts to start off the season. He is undeniably the star player for the defending Super Bowl champions and plays a position where it’s easy to create a lot of odds boosts around his statistics. This one from FanDuel is one of their Super Boosters, yet even though I am disappointed in the odds they offer, it’s still a great bet to highlight.
Mahomes threw for at least three touchdowns in both games against Houston last season and came very close to 300 passing yards in both contests as well. In the Week 6 loss last season, Mahomes threw for 273 yards and three touchdowns, but in the AFC Divisional Round, Mahomes threw for 321 yards and five scores as Kansas City rallied to advance in the playoffs. In 30 starts over the last two seasons, Mahomes has thrown three or more touchdowns in half of those games and thrown for 300 or more yards 17 times.
If you’re uncomfortable combining all three of these props into one wager, there are a pair of odds boosts that focuses on the two Mahomes-centric legs of this bet. DraftKings is offering +135 boosted odds on Mahomes to throw for at least three touchdown passes against the Texans. BetMGM handles the passing yards with an odds boost up to +200 on Mahomes eclipsing 300 passing yards in the game.
Tyreek Hill Scores A Touchdown (+100 PointsBet)
Hill caught two of Mahomes’ three touchdown passes in the regular season last season against Houston, but he did not score in the postseason contest. Hill was one of Mahomes’ most-targeted receivers last season, and he also catching the most touchdown passes (7) despite missing four games due to a shoulder injury. He’ll be someone Mahomes trusts after this weird preseason, and his speed and agility mean he can make a play happen out of nothing.
I expect the Kansas City offense to try to neutralize the Texans’ pass rush with a lot of quick passes, which plays into Hill’s hands. If the Chiefs do decide to take some deeper shots, he’ll likely be at the end of those long passes as well, which opens another door for him getting into the end zone. Overall, it’s nowhere near certain Hill will score tonight, but the odds boost gives good enough value for this wager.
NBA Odds Boosts
Russell Westbrook Records Double-Double (+200 PointsBet)
There were plenty of odds boosts around Anthony Davis, James Harden or LeBron James, but I really liked the odds on this Westbrook bet. What we’ve seen over the last four games is that Westbrook is close to 100% in terms of his stats, even though his offense has been sporadic. Westbrook has 44 career double-doubles in 104 playoff games, so if he’s continuing to get healthier, he’s getting closer to returning to that pace again.
Since returning from his injury, Westbrook has scored at least 10 points in five of the six games he’s played, and he’s only had one double-double. He’s come one rebound shy twice, and he was two rebounds short in Game 3, so he’s clearly been in the hunt for a double-double in this series. With Houston trailing in the series and Westbrook coming off a strong offensive game, I expect he will try to do more in Game 4 to help even the series and therefore collect that double-double.