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MUST BET: Patriots +7 Sunday Night Football Picks Based Off Awesemo’s Expert NFL Betting Tool

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Week 4 NFL best bets, betting odds, picks and predictions for Week 4 Sunday Night Football game Buccaneers vs. Patriots | Oct. 3, 2021

The NFL schedule makers did a good job with this one. In the game of the week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be taking on the New England Patriots. However, except for NFL betting purposes, the teams playing have faded into the background since this matchup feels like it is Tom Brady versus Bill Belichick. While one team is significantly more talented than the other, this will be must-watch television. The following Buccaneers – Patriots NFL betting picks preview will provide the current odds, betting trends, and best NFL bets for the Week 4 Sunday Night Football matchup.

NFL Best Bets & Odds: Week 4 Sunday Night Football

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021
Time: 8:20 p.m. EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium — Foxboro, Mass.
Coverage: NBC

Tom Brady is back in Foxboro, but this time he is in the visiting locker room. Fresh off a loss to the Rams, the Buccaneers are looking for a bounce back. While Brady is coming back to his old stomping grounds, Rob Gronkowski will not be on the field due to a rib injury. Still, Tampa is loaded with receiving weapons to fill the void.

On the other side, the Patriots are not where Belichick would like them to be this Sunday. The offensive line has not been great, and rookie Mac Jones has looked like a rookie. However, with the tough Tampa run defense in town, the pressure to win the game will be on Jones’ arm. If he can protect the football and get in a rhythm, it is possible Belichick could create a bit of magic on Sunday Night Football.

Buccaneers vs. Patriots Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Buccaneers vs. Patriots betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.

Buccaneers vs. Patriots NFL Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay is 1-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Over is 3-0 for the Buccaneers this season.
  • New England is 1-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Over is 0-3 for the Patriots this season.

Buccaneers vs. Patriots Betting Stats

  • Tampa Bay is averaging 34.3 points per game this season (T-No. 1 in the NFL).
  • Tampa Bay is surrendering 29.3 points per game this season (No. 28 in the NFL).
  • New England is averaging 18.0 points per game this season (No. 27 in the NFL).
  • New England is surrendering 17.0 points per game this season (No. 5 in the NFL).

Buccaneers vs. Patriots NFL Best Bet

We are using the new Awesemo NFL Betting Model to figure out what the best bet for Sunday Night Football is tonight. According to the model, Patriots +7 is the clear best bet to place, giving it a 10.7% ROI. Conversely, betting the spread for the Buccaneers has a -16.2% ROI. Stranger things have happened, and the Patriots defense is good enough to keep this game close.


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Zach Brunner is the founder of FlurrySports and a featured sports betting and fantasy sports expert for numerous outlets. With an education in business, coaching and history education, he has taken a little bit from all of his experiences to give him a well-rounded, unique point of view in the sports industry. Follow him on Twitter @FantasyFlurry to keep up with other things he is doing.

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