The Sunday nightcap in the NBA features two teams with opposite identities. The Clippers are making the best of a bad situation – overcoming injury to their superstars and still three games above .500 and a better record than the Lakers. The Knicks are riding a 7-game losing streak and have all but given up – although, at times it does look like that on the floor. Reggie Jackson is the lead catalyst for the Clippers who are riding a 5-game win streak, and have won seven of ten games. Ivica Zubac has been consistent down in the post, and comes off a 19-point performance last Thursday against the Lakers. The Clippers have been off since that victory.
Things are awful for the Knicks as they are hitting their worst tailspin of the season. Julius Randle notched 25 points in the Knicks most recent loss – buzzer-beater at the hands of the Suns. RJBarett and Evan Fournier are the only other consistent scoring options, especially with Kemba Walker and Derrick Rose shut down. Mitchell Robinson also had a big game against the Suns and will be up against Zuba tonight. New York is still 9th in the league in defensive scoring average, but they are 27th in the NBA in scoring.
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NBA Player Props & Picks Today | Knicks vs. Clippers
Best Knicks vs. Clippers NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping
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Clippers -4.5: -110 (BetMGM)
No need to complicate things here – LA may be surviving but they are on fire right now, and the Knicks are the walking dead. The close loss at the buzzer to the Suns will do even more damage to an already fragile Knicks team. The Clippers have a dog mentality that’s best illustrated by Jackson and his wide impact on Los Angeles wins. Jackson has had at least five rebounds and five assists in each of his last three games, on top of double-digit points. This isn’t the easiest matchup for the Knicks either from Randle, Robinson, or even a healthy Nerlens Noel, the Knicks should see issues getting any point production in the post. Marcus Morris and Nicolas Batum are just better options for Jackson than anything the Knicks have outside of Fournier.
The lack of depth in the backcourt will be exposed once again tonight for the Knicks. They don’t have a body right now that can slow down Jackson, and will find platooning bodies across rotations isn’t going to work either. Clippers should roll and cover this number. OddsShopper found a break from -5 to -4.5 at BetMGM as the site will always find the best value.
Reggie Jackson Over 6.5 Assists: +112 (FanDuel)
The Clippers are getting the most out of Jackson during this win streak. He should have an easy time creating scoring opportunities around him, from Morris and Batum on the outside to Zubac down low. Jackson dished out nine dimes against the Lakers and will carve up the Knicks. Awesemo’s free projection has Jackson at 7.1 assists. OddsShopper has a 56% xWin chance of this prop going over, with the second-best xROI – 23% – for this game. Jackson has put up at least 6 assists in nine straight games.
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Evan Fournier Over 15.5 Points: -106 (FanDuel)
There are a couple of angles on playing Fournier props tonight, but OddsShopper identifies this as the best. The books have caught up to Fournier shooting 3’s, so the value lies in attacking his point totals. Awesemo’s free projection has Fournier finishing with 17 points. OddsShopper has a 59% xWin chance of this prop going over, along with a 14% xROI. Fournier has gone over this point total in eight of his last eleven games.
Alec Burks Over 1.5 3-Pointers: -130 (DraftKings)
The Knicks are going to need points from someone other than Fournier in the backcourt. While the Clippers should cruise and Jackson will be the reason, the Knicks will get a bump from Alec Burks. OddsShopper has a strong 61% xWin chance of this prop going over combined with a 10% xROI on the play. Awesemo’s free projection has Burks finishing with 2 makes tonight from deep. Burks has gone over this number in two of his last four games, but should get an extra look or two with so much focus on Fournier.
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